Some have the idea that there should be a "weight of evidence" that is separate from probability, or in addition to it. Probability judgments are held more or less strongly,…

As we learned before, hate facts "are true statements about reality that our elites demand remain occult and unuttered." The problem is that hate facts will routinely pop up in…

https://twitter.com/drewconway/status/1010137695664951297 This meme which heads today's post (see discussion under this tweet a modification of an original cartoon) expresses the true distinction between statistics, machine learning, and artificial intelligence. Which…

On Drudge a while back was linked the article "Pandemic 'could wipe out 900 million people,' experts warn" in some tabloid or sensationalistic rag (New York Times?). A chilling simulation…

We discussed this before, but since it has come up recently in personal discussions, I wanted to offer this clarification. Suppose we're in a standard epidemiological situation, or even a…