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Coal Dust Is Claimed To Kill Old People: A New Instance of the Epidemiologist Fallacy
Posted inStatistics

Coal Dust Is Claimed To Kill Old People: A New Instance of the Epidemiologist Fallacy

There are a lot of new readers, and many may not yet have heard of the epidemiologist fallacy. Few tools have been as productive at generating The Science. You know…
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Can You Get A Singularity When AI = Automated Instructions?
Posted inStatistics

Can You Get A Singularity When AI = Automated Instructions?

So they fired and rehired or whatever the guy from OpenAI for obscure reasons. OpenAI did ChatGPT, the text simulator which will tell nasty jokes about white men but which…
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The Statistics Of Stopping Power
Posted inStatistics

The Statistics Of Stopping Power

It is a slow week, and a week of Thanks, so let's spend our time with some fun things. Like a fascinating study by Greg Ellifritz on "An Alternate Look…
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Refereeing Models Which Ask Us To “Follow The Science!”
Posted inStatistics

Refereeing Models Which Ask Us To “Follow The Science!”

I'm stealing this from Spectator, which has done science right. It shows the UK's SAGE Expert models for covid. In each case, the gray and others colors are the model…
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The Field Of Statistics Is Doomed — Unless It Abandons Testing & Parameter-Based Analysis
Posted inStatistics

The Field Of Statistics Is Doomed — Unless It Abandons Testing & Parameter-Based Analysis

The first part of this article also appears at the Broken Science Initiative. Go there to read it, too, and many other good ones by other authors. We already saw…
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The Regime’s New De Facto “AI” Law And The End Of Pattern Recognition
Posted inCulture Statistics

The Regime’s New De Facto “AI” Law And The End Of Pattern Recognition

News is that Regime put out a new law, bypassing Congress as usual, in the form of an "executive order", about "AI". The new law's title is "Safe, Secure, and…
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What Is a Model of a Model of a Model? “Climate Change”!
Posted inStatistics

What Is a Model of a Model of a Model? “Climate Change”!

One of our main themes is Uncertainty. In short, there is not enough of it, especially in Science. Which is to say, there is a surfeit of certainty. We drown…
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Here’s How They Say Conservatives Are Destroying Science
Posted inStatistics

Here’s How They Say Conservatives Are Destroying Science

My favorite headline of late is from Stat, which I'll reveal in a brief moment. First, as I was discovering that headline, I saw the site's top crawl, which asked…
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  1. Al on On That “Bombshell German Study” That “Exposes the PCR Test Fraud That Locked Down the World”November 18, 2025

    It wasn’t a blunder.

  2. Williis Eschenbach on Why Study Probability?November 18, 2025

    John, you seem to be operating under the misunderstanding that I asked you a question or that I care about…

  3. Johnno on Masking Morality With Science: Men Pretending To Be Women In SportsNovember 17, 2025

    What is to be done? Accelerate it! Let the transgenders march through all the women's institutions to outcompete and purge…

  4. Johnno on In Which An Atheist Becomes Sputteringly Angry Over Theist’s ArgumentNovember 17, 2025

    Well Cary, the problem is that before you see God we are all very certain you are going to spend…

  5. John Pate on Why Study Probability?November 17, 2025

    Willis, I'm trying to get you to think differently, not be antagonistic... although my sister says I'm "on the spectrum"…

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