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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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Professor’s Long-Accurate Presidential Election Model Picks Biden. How Do We Judge This Model?
Posted inStatistics

Professor’s Long-Accurate Presidential Election Model Picks Biden. How Do We Judge This Model?

How impressive does this headline sound: "Forecaster who's predicted every presidential winner correctly for 40 YEARS reveals who he thinks will win 2024 election"? We'll use this to look at…
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The Man In Charge Of The Vatican Says You’re A Fool If You Don’t Believe Athletes Will Run 0.006 Seconds Faster Per Degree Temperature Increase
Posted inStatistics

The Man In Charge Of The Vatican Says You’re A Fool If You Don’t Believe Athletes Will Run 0.006 Seconds Faster Per Degree Temperature Increase

In my long studied career of insolence and rough defense of Reality, not to mention my general constitutive abrasiveness---I was "born that way"---I have been called every variety of choice…
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Student Protests To End After Finals: TWID
Posted inStatistics

Student Protests To End After Finals: TWID

I changed the title to put TWID = The Week In Doom at the end. I did this long ago, too, and found it answered. Hilarity Ensues Students, by definition,…
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Class 3: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Belief & Faith
Posted inClass Statistics

Class 3: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Belief & Faith

Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble It still feels like I'm rushing things, but the videos are already a half hour. I can't see your faces so…
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William M. Briggs on Embracing Uncertainty and Stats as a False God – Thorinquiry
Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

William M. Briggs on Embracing Uncertainty and Stats as a False God – Thorinquiry

Thanks to EMM for the donation! I was interviewed by Duncan Thorin Shields (he goes by Thorin) last week. He asked the best questions I think I've ever been asked.…
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Class 2: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Quid Est Veritas
Posted inClass Statistics

Class 2: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Quid Est Veritas

Link to all Classes. Video (Hagfish: I was in such a hurry, I forgot my jacket.) Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble It still feels like I'm rushing things, but the videos…
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The Week In Doom: Follow The Science Edition
Posted inStatistics

The Week In Doom: Follow The Science Edition

The return of the Week in Doom seemed to go well enough last week, so I'll inflict it on you for another installment. Do Not Get Sick Item: "Minority Contracting…
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MRI Claims 92% Accuracy Predicting Sexual “Orientation”. My Schmengee Mediscan 3000™ Beats It
Posted inStatistics

MRI Claims 92% Accuracy Predicting Sexual “Orientation”. My Schmengee Mediscan 3000™ Beats It

The news, considered marvelous to some because it seems to confirm how good MRIs are at uncovering secrets of the brain, is that MRIs can predict "sexual orientation" with 92%…
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  1. Christopher C Reed on Another Academic Says Climate Skeptics Criminals Against Humanity And Other Name CallingFebruary 12, 2026

    Congratulations on your promotion to Ringfueher, er...Ringleader! I suppose there may now be an opening for Henchman?

  2. Brian. (bulaoren) on Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam PerformanceFebruary 11, 2026

    A lot of Americans have come to suspect that the "dumbing down" of the population is a real, and deliberate…

  3. Heresolong on Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam PerformanceFebruary 11, 2026

    I can't but I don't understand most of the abbreviations. I look forward to your analysis.

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender DelusionsFebruary 10, 2026

    addendum; As I think back, that was probably the 1976 Dem. primary.

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender DelusionsFebruary 10, 2026

    While butting heads with Ted Kennedy, over the 1980 Democratic presidential primary, John Connally said something like; "At least I…

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