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New Zealand Vaccine Data: Possible Injuries & Misleading Signals
Posted inStatistics

New Zealand Vaccine Data: Possible Injuries & Misleading Signals

Thanks to everybody from yesterday. I saw nothing that made me change my mind, so I'm publishing my analysis as is. There is this new caveat about the data a…
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Quick Post Today: New Zealand Vax Data Analysis In Progress: Your Ideas?
Posted inStatistics

Quick Post Today: New Zealand Vax Data Analysis In Progress: Your Ideas?

I've finished an analysis of the New Zealand vax data. But since tempers are hot on this, and the subject is important, I want to be sure I haven't missed…
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Coal Dust Is Claimed To Kill Old People: A New Instance of the Epidemiologist Fallacy
Posted inStatistics

Coal Dust Is Claimed To Kill Old People: A New Instance of the Epidemiologist Fallacy

There are a lot of new readers, and many may not yet have heard of the epidemiologist fallacy. Few tools have been as productive at generating The Science. You know…
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Can You Get A Singularity When AI = Automated Instructions?
Posted inStatistics

Can You Get A Singularity When AI = Automated Instructions?

So they fired and rehired or whatever the guy from OpenAI for obscure reasons. OpenAI did ChatGPT, the text simulator which will tell nasty jokes about white men but which…
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The Statistics Of Stopping Power
Posted inStatistics

The Statistics Of Stopping Power

It is a slow week, and a week of Thanks, so let's spend our time with some fun things. Like a fascinating study by Greg Ellifritz on "An Alternate Look…
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Refereeing Models Which Ask Us To “Follow The Science!”
Posted inStatistics

Refereeing Models Which Ask Us To “Follow The Science!”

I'm stealing this from Spectator, which has done science right. It shows the UK's SAGE Expert models for covid. In each case, the gray and others colors are the model…
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The Field Of Statistics Is Doomed — Unless It Abandons Testing & Parameter-Based Analysis
Posted inStatistics

The Field Of Statistics Is Doomed — Unless It Abandons Testing & Parameter-Based Analysis

The first part of this article also appears at the Broken Science Initiative. Go there to read it, too, and many other good ones by other authors. We already saw…
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The Regime’s New De Facto “AI” Law And The End Of Pattern Recognition
Posted inCulture Statistics

The Regime’s New De Facto “AI” Law And The End Of Pattern Recognition

News is that Regime put out a new law, bypassing Congress as usual, in the form of an "executive order", about "AI". The new law's title is "Safe, Secure, and…
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  1. Ronald Conneely on Black Women Can’t Do Physics As Well As White Men, Says ResearcherNovember 20, 2025

    Great analysis as usual but be careful, you are bordering on that dreded (R----t) area. Would hate to lose your…

  2. Williis Eschenbach on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayNovember 20, 2025

    Thanks, Matt, that's what I figured, just wanted to verify it. w.

  3. Briggs on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayNovember 20, 2025

    Willis, Sure, you can change the model to remove the probability leakage. Careful modelers would. The vast majority would not,…

  4. William Ward Eschenbach on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayNovember 20, 2025

    As usual, most fascinating. This may be a foolish question, but since the minimum score is 200, what happens if…

  5. KGB on Black Women Can’t Do Physics As Well As White Men, Says ResearcherNovember 20, 2025

    And if my aunt had balls...

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