William M. Briggs

Decline Of Participation In Religious Rituals With Improved Sanitation

Answer me this. Earl at the end of the bar, on his sixth or seventh, tells listeners just what's wrong with America's science policy. His words receive knowing nods from…

Philosophy Statistics

Comments On Dawid’s Prequential Probability

Phil Dawid is a brilliant mathematical statistician who introduced (in 1984) the theory of prequential probability1 to describe a new-ish way of doing statistics. We ought to understand this theory.…

Philosophy Statistics

Explanation Vs Prediction

Introduction There isn't as much space between explanation and prediction as you'd think; both are had from the same elements of the problem at hand. Here's how it all works.…

Philosophy

Philosophic Issues in Cosmology V: What Measurements Tell Us—Guest Post by Bob Kurland

Bob Kurland is a retired, cranky, old physicist, and convert to Catholicism. He shows that there is no contradiction between what science tells us about the world and our Catholic…

Philosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Has No Passive Potentiality

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. We started…

Culture Philosophy

Gibbon (And O’Brian) On Too Many Lawyers

This is Gibbon, quoted in Patrick O'Brian's The Reverse of the Medal by the character Dr Stephen Maturin, who then speaks: '"It is dangerous to entrust the conduct of nations…

Statistics

Missing Global Warming Close To A Solution?

I can't tell you where I obtained a photocopy of the note below. I can tell you that I am in Washington DC (at the lovely and recommended Morrison Clark…

Statistics

There Is No Difference Between A Forecast, A Scenario, or A Projection

This is a tad incoherent, but the gist is here. I had the opportunity of submitting an abstract to the AGU fall meeting, and had only a couple of hours…

Rudolph Harrier on On The Limitations of AI: PredictionsJanuary 30, 2025
History of computer science should be mandatory learning. EVERY single advancement in computer science has been accompanied by hype that…
SHAWN E MARSHALL on On The Limitations of AI: PredictionsJanuary 30, 2025
is AI simply plagiarism writ large with supercomputing power linking phrases statistically? machines cannot think.
JH on On The Limitations of AI: PredictionsJanuary 30, 2025
The limitations of AI are due to the limitations of human beings. For example, we don't understand what intelligence is.…
John Pate on On The Limitations of AI: PredictionsJanuary 30, 2025
AI is fake and gay jew pump and dump tech bubble, business as usual. AI stands for "Actually Indians" as…
hudbwu on On The Limitations of AI: PredictionsJanuary 30, 2025
>Godel makes his grand entrance in the Real Intelligence? essay, in which the surprise answer will be, No. Ooh! Can't…

William M. Briggs

On The Limitations of AI: Predictions

Lady Lawyers Become — Gasp! — Science Deniers

Class 36: Paradox Lost

The Death Of DIE—In University Science

Vaccine Bullying Is Scientism

I Don’t Want Immigrants Is All The Reason I Need

Class 35: The Grand Scheme: All Of Probability & Uncertainty In 30 Minutes

More On Monkeys Typing Shakespeare & Why Chance Isn’t Enough

Surgeon General Demands Label War Against Wine

Class 34: The Excesses & Errors Of Epidemiology III

England’s Rulers Insist Natives Must Assimilate To “Migrants”

Experts: Please Begin Panicking Over Bird Flu. Us: No. Experts: (Sob)

Environmental Experts To Rip Out Trees, Build Solar Electric Plant In Snow Belt To “Save The Environment”

Class 33: The Excesses & Errors Of Epidemiology II

Register Your Predictions For 2025!

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Merry Christmas!

The Lesson Scientists Never Learn

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