William M. Briggs

How Many Lousy Predictions Until Error Is Admitted?

https://twitter.com/EcoSenseNow/status/605381412158500864 Update Breitbart kindly asked to reprint this, and just did. How long does it take for an expert who has, year upon year after year, made predictions of unrealized…

Fun Statistics

Heartland Conference, Statistics Classes, Statistics Books, & Statistical Cups

Heartland Conference I'll be there, speaking Friday on "The Need To Believe In 'The Solution' To Global Warming". This is a paper which I'll try to find a home for…

Culture Statistics

Why Global Warming Models Are Hot And Bothered

https://twitter.com/EcoSenseNow/status/605381412158500864 Everybody remembers what happened when Lord Christopher Monckton, Willie Soon, David Legates and I published our (what is physics is called) toy model of the climate. Global warming increased!…

Culture

Bill Nye Says, “Let’s Talk” About Global Warming. Okay, Let’s.

This article was co-authored by Willie Soon. If anybody has a way to contact Bill Nye, make sure he sees this. Bill "The Science Guy" Nye went on CNN recently…

Fun

Help This Reader Out: Best Science Material For Kids?

A reader writes (I've stripped out personal details): Dr. Briggs, I recently came across your work on The Stream. I was hoping you could point me to a resource or…

Philosophy

The I-Must-Be-Right-Because-I-Can’t-Think-Of-Another-Reason Fallacy

The I-Must-Be-Right-Because-I-Can't-Think-Of-Another-Reason---or IMBRBICTOAR, pronounced, in Latin, im-bri-bictor---has always been with us, but its use has latterly accelerated because of our culture's fascination with self-esteem. Schools and universities in the West…

Philosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Is Truth

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. There is…

Culture Statistics

This Week In Doom: Bad Science Edition

3 out of 4 scientists agree The bagatelle about how more than half of published research is wrong---a fact well known to regular readers---is garnering comment hither and yon. Joanne…

Rudolph Harrier on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026
It's an interesting thought experiment. However, we will never have a practical implementation of the test because it would be…
Briggs on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026
hudbwu, You could be right.
hudbwu on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026
Caution: it may be that intelligence can not be confirmed by any behavioral test. For example, free will can not…
Lucy Tucker on How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)February 5, 2026
I’m ready to give up the right to vote.
spetzer86 on Impossible LSAT Statistics QuestionFebruary 5, 2026
Could this scenario validate (A) and (D)? (A): When living in a country with a strong, pervasive religious belief, particularly…

William M. Briggs

Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI

Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well

Impossible LSAT Statistics Question

How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)

Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series

Who Still Listens To AM Radio?

Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital Twins

What Science Says About Making Medication Mandatory

What A Winter

FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability

Class 76: That’s Not Noise. That’s Signal!

AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)

Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis Shooting

Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose Money

Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time Series

The Consent Fallacy

On Laws Banning Hacking Women’s Genitals & Imposing Beliefs

Register Your Predictions For 2026!

Happy New Year!

How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?

Why The Drake Equation Fails