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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Posted inStatistics

How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power

Posted by By Briggs May 6, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko

Posted by By Briggs May 4, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

When Colleges Divest, Who Wins? Hint: Not The Colleges

I don't normally do this, but it's a special occasions. Here's a press release from the National Association of Scholars announcing the release of their report Inside Divestment: The Illiberal…
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Posted inCulture

Universities Like Missouri & Yale? Nuke ’em From Orbit. It’s The Only Way To Be Sure.

A version of this post originally ran 12 November 2014, but given the events in Missouri, Yale, and elsewhere, it is time to up the payload. What happens when you…
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Posted inStatistics

Here’s Why That Study Claiming Religious Kids Are Less Altruistic Stinks. Updates

Update 13 August 2019 The paper has been retracted! Welcome Guardian readers. You should understand this poor study is one of thousands, all of which make similar mistakes. See the…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: How Virtues Can Be Ascribed To God

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. Some more…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

This Week In Doom: Pew Research Proves Global Warming Propaganda Works

Before we start, you can and must combat propaganda by saying global warming. Do not say climate change. This admonition cannot be repeated enough. Please pass it on. To say…
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Posted inBook review

The Pope’s Favorite Novel: Lord of the World

Many have said Lord of the World is the Pope's favorite book. Given today's curious state of the Pope and the Church, there might be insights to gain from examining…
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Posted inStatistics

Hubris & Models: Global Warming Economic Production Edition

COP21 in Paris is fast approaching and the #BigPush is on. That means we're forced to talk about global warming more than I'd like (which is not at all). But…
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Posted inStatistics

Stream: People Who Don’t Need People

Today's post is at The Stream: Environmentalists Who Dream of a World without Themselves. It was anno Domini one thousand nine hundred and sixty eight and the sky was falling.…
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  1. NLR on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 7, 2026

    It appears that Dawkins does not have a well thought out philosophy of consciousness and so he has psyched himself…

  2. Johnno on How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain PowerMay 6, 2026

    Hence we descriptively say in plural... a "calamity of victims." Or a "catastrophe of Expurts." Or an "academy of failures."…

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain PowerMay 6, 2026

    So, three circumlocutors walk into a bar...

  4. Cary D Cotterman on How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain PowerMay 6, 2026

    When an academic paper has "intersectional," "decolonial," "disabilities," "intersect," "social," "structural," "injustices," and "diverse" in one sentence, you know you've…

  5. Bill Hankel on How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain PowerMay 6, 2026

    I decided to accept your challenge, knowing with near certainty that your intuition was correct. I invested 15-20 seconds total…

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