You must review: Part I, II. Not reviewing is like coming to class late and saying “What did I miss?” Note the New & Improved title! Here are the main points thus […]
Free Statistics Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part I
Regular readers know Uncertainty proposes we go back to the old way of examining and making conclusions about data, and eschew many innovations of the 20th Century. No p-values, no tests, no […]
Are We Smart Enough To Know What Intelligence Is? — WMBriggs Podcast
Aaron Neville: You’re So Smart Michio Kaku on the Evolution of Intelligence That was Michio Kaku on intelligence, getting some things right, some wrong. Let’s focus on what he got right. The […]
How Good Is That Model? Scoring Rules For Forecasts: Part III
Read Part I, Part II Part III This brings us to the second reason for measuring model goodness. Or rather an incorrect implementation of it. A lot of folks announce how well […]
How Good Is That Model? Scoring Rules For Forecasts: Part I
Part I of III All probability (which is to say, statistical) models have a predictive sense; indeed, they are only really useful in that sense. We don’t need models to tell us […]
How Good Is That Model? Scoring Rules For Forecasts: Part II: Update
Read Part I Part II What we’re after is a score that calculates how close a prediction is to its eventual observation when the prediction is a probability. Now there are no […]
Is Using FanDuel Or DraftKings Gambling? What Is A “Game Of Chance”?
Fantasies Heard about the legal troubles of FanDuel and DraftKings? These are fantasy sports companies that allow people to pick lineups (according to certain rules) for professional sporting matches and to win […]
Classic Posts
Classic Articles There is over twenty years worth of material on the blog on wide-ranging subjects. First stop is the category drop-down menu, to the right on large screens and at the […]
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