A public radio station hosts what they call “The Academic Minute”, a name which signals you are in for sixty seconds of pain. This was so in a minute from “Moti Mizrahi, […]
Our Base Metaphors & Analogies Used In Science Have Outlived Their Usefulness: Part I
Metaphors and analogies exhaust themselves. No matter how useful they are as guides to thought, pushed too far they can loosen our grip on Reality or lead to stagnation, and they can […]
Classical Statistics Has Outlived Its Usefulness: Here’s The Fix
A PDF of this article may be downloaded here. This article is a precis of Uncertainty. Opening Act Patient walks into the doctor and says, “Doc, I saw that new ad. The […]
There Is No Problem Of Old Evidence In Bayesian Probability
Rationalists, like those at Less Wrong (think Eliezer Yudkowsky and Scott Alexander), are prone to fetishsize Bayes theorem, seeing it as the key to all thought. It isn’t. Bayes is a helpful […]
Do We Need Philosophy, Or Can Science Replace It?
You see the news? Woman pretending to be a man walked into a school and murdered a bunch of kids. “I know what you’re going to say. You’re going to say that […]
It Takes Just As Much Free Will To Punish As To Do Wrong
Listen to the podcast on YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. Thing that always cracks me up about anti-free will arguments is the contradictions. Too many of those arguments take this shape: if only […]
What Does It Mean To Assess Risk Wrong? Coronadoom Example
There is, as de Finetti said, no such thing as probability. So there is no such thing as risk, either, since risk relies upon probability. If there is no such thing as […]
Hung Jury: The Verdict On Uncertainty
This invited paper (which I forgot to post!) appeared in the festschrift for Hung T. Nguyen, previously at New Mexico State University and now at Chiang Mai University, to celebrate his entry […]
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