Everybody who’s anybody—which makes, as we’ll see, a lot of nobodies—knows the gambler’s fallacy. Gambler watches the roulette wheel come up red six times running and says to himself, “Black is due.” It happens, too, these musings. Real people make … Continue Reading The Gambler’s Fallacy Proves Classical Statistics (Frequentist & Bayes) Fails
Please pass this on to ANY researcher who uses statistics. Pretty please. With sugar on top. Like I say below, … Continue Reading Statistical Models CANNOT Show Cause, But EVERYBODY Thinks They Can. Hence the Replication CRISIS
Review! This class is neither frequentist nor Bayesian nor machine learning in theory. It is pure probability, and unlike any … Continue Reading Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part VI
It’s probably gone by now, but for a little while my new book, Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & … Continue Reading Number 1 Book In Epistemology & In Logic! Get It While It’s Hot!