Today a deal so unbelievable that it can’t be believed! No, wait. In fact, the deal was so unbelievable that it couldn’t be believed. This follows logically: that which is unbelievable cannot […]
The Deadly Sin Of Reification Strikes Again!
Trump just said his unfavs have gone down. False. https://t.co/Bf9tXpIDeY pic.twitter.com/FHROorfq8w — Rick Wilson (@TheRickWilson) April 27, 2016 If you can’t see the tweet, and tweets are ephemeral, the screen shot is […]
Just What Is Signal And What Is Noise?
There are two senses of Signal and Noise (SN). The first is obvious: a signal, some known phenomenon, is corrupted by outside forces, where these caused corruptions are the noise. The second […]
Number 1 Book In Epistemology & In Logic! Get It While It’s Hot!
It’s probably gone by now, but for a little while my new book, Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics, was “#1 New Release in Epistemology” then “#1 New Release in […]
Data Do Not Have Means: Or, The Deadly Sin of Reification Strikes Again!
No, data do not have means. Nor do they have variances, autocorrelations, partial or otherwise, nor moments; nor do they have any other statistical characteristic you care to name. Data only have […]
Heartland Climate Conference: Day 1. Everybody Gets Time Series Wrong
As predicted, there were cigars. But I missed them. The smoking party left without me while I listed to Ireland’s version of the Mr Wizard brothers. A science experiment involving a syringe, […]
Keenan’s $100-Grand Climate Challenge & Randomness
Lots of people are asking me about Douglas Keenan’s challenge to identify which time series meets a certain criterion. If our betters are as good as they say at identifying signals in […]
FiveThirtyEight Weighs In With Some Odd Affirmative Action Statistics
FiveThirtyEight ran the piece “Here’s What Happens When You Ban Affirmative Action In College Admissions” that ran some dicey stats. Affirmative Action is, as all know, the practice of rewarding somebody for […]
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