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What A Winter
January 20, 2026
FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability
January 19, 2026
Class 76: That’s Not Noise. That’s Signal!
January 15, 2026
AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)
January 14, 2026
Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis Shooting
January 13, 2026
Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose Money
January 12, 2026
Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time Series
January 8, 2026
The Consent Fallacy
January 7, 2026
On Laws Banning Hacking Women’s Genitals & Imposing Beliefs
January 6, 2026
Register Your Predictions For 2026!
January 5, 2026
Happy New Year!
January 1, 2026
How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?
December 31, 2025
Why The Drake Equation Fails
December 30, 2025
Canada Invents New Euphemism For Doctor Killings
December 29, 2025
Merry Christmas!
December 25, 2025
Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By Science
December 24, 2025
Why British & EU Rulers Are Juicing War With Russia
December 23, 2025
Climate Models
December 22, 2025
Is Powerball A “Fair Game”?
December 20, 2025
No Class: But Here’s Some Homework
December 18, 2025
On The Form Of Species: ‘Dance To The Tune Of Life’ by Denis Noble Reviewed
December 16, 2025
Posted inStatistics

What A Winter

Posted by By Briggs January 20, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability

Posted by By Briggs January 19, 2026
Continue Reading
I Finally Read James Lindsay’s Manifesto (Yes, He Has A Manifesto)
Posted inStatistics

I Finally Read James Lindsay’s Manifesto (Yes, He Has A Manifesto)

It's called "A Manifesto Against the Enemies of Modernity", co-authored with the aptly surnamed Helen Pluckrose. A fisking would produce an article sized to rival Gibbon, since Lindsay and Pluckrose…
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The Biggest Mistake In Science Applied To Universe As Simulation
Posted inStatistics

The Biggest Mistake In Science Applied To Universe As Simulation

If you're an academic, you might think the biggest mistake in science is failing to win the grant, and thus lose the power to calm the Savage Powers that demand…
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Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad Dice
Posted inStatistics

Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad Dice

This is the most in-depth, complicated Class yet. But it has everything. Every probability problem turns out to be just like asking Pr(Dice loaded|Evidence). I hope you stick by this…
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Academic Proposes Mushrooms To Avoid Compulsory Moral Bioenhancement
Posted inStatistics

Academic Proposes Mushrooms To Avoid Compulsory Moral Bioenhancement

Behold! The impenetrable mind of the academic at his work (with my trembling and humble emphasis and paragraphifications): Love (Drugs), Happiness, and Morality Various authors, including myself, have argued that…
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The Michigan Gun Violence Prevention Task Force Is Wrong: “Guns” are not the leading cause of death in kids
Posted inStatistics

The Michigan Gun Violence Prevention Task Force Is Wrong: “Guns” are not the leading cause of death in kids

Guns, which is to say the arms most commonly used, such as pistols, revolvers and rifles, very infrequently discharge accidentally. Rare incidents have been noted in which weapons fire when…
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The Perfect Conspiracy Theory
Posted inStatistics

The Perfect Conspiracy Theory

I didn't believe it when I first heard the most perfect conspiracy theory. You won't either. Who would? But once I did hear, I searched, because that is what good…
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Old Lodge Skins’ Prayer Of Thanksgiving
Posted inFun

Old Lodge Skins’ Prayer Of Thanksgiving

Happy Thanksgiving! I’m grateful to all of you, especially those who support my work of freeing Science from gross over-certainty, thankful for what I’ve learned from you, for your patience,…
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The Apples In A Sack Paradox: Solve It Or You Get No Pie Tomorrow
Posted inStatistics

The Apples In A Sack Paradox: Solve It Or You Get No Pie Tomorrow

Via Alexander Bogomolny: At 1 minute to midnight 10 apples fall into a sack. The same happens at half a minute to midnight, then at a quarter minute to midnight,…
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  1. Cary D Cotterman on What A WinterJanuary 20, 2026

    There's always something busting on a house or a car, and mean weather doesn't help. The joy of home and…

  2. shawn marshall on What A WinterJanuary 20, 2026

    c'mon global warming!

  3. Chad W Jessup on What A WinterJanuary 20, 2026

    Wish some of that snow would come west, as it looks like La Niña is not helping out here. Repairing…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on What A WinterJanuary 20, 2026

    Dr. Briggs I reckon you can be forgiven for today's little screed; That weather sounds pretty nasty. My only experience…

  5. Boehringer Ingelheim Animal Health on What A WinterJanuary 20, 2026

    Doesn't sound fun, but hang in there. Here in the center of the country, we've had very little snow and…

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