CDC Correctly Predicts Second Wave https://twitter.com/washingtonpost/status/1252707856442327041 Also: CDC Director: Next Winter's COVID-19 Season Could Be Even Worse "There's a possibility that the assault of the virus on our nation next…

We talked many times of the expansion effect. A small core of experts, real and true great (or at least good) minds on some subject, are injected by design with…

Used with permission from the original American Institute for Economic Research article. Regular readers: No Doom tomorrow. With the latest reports of plummeting death rates from all causes, this crisis…

Ezra Klein, lead explainer over at Vox, needs to have direction of cause explained to him. He tweeted "leading AI models for processing hate speech were one-and-a-half times more likely…

Here's the headline: "AI can predict when someone will die with unsettling accuracy: This isn't the first time experts have harnessed AI's predictive power for healthcare." Unsettling accuracy? Is accuracy…

Long-time readers will recall the epidemiologist fallacy is a shotgun marriage of the ecological fallacy and wee p-values. Make that and/or confidence intervals. For confidence intervals are equivalent to p-values…