Posted inStatistics
Nate Silver’s Obama Prediction: What Does It Mean?
It was Sophocles who first noted the truism, "No one loves the messenger who brings bad news." But the converse is also true. As it is written (in Romans 10:15),…
Posted inCulture
More Consequences: The Way The World Looks
Joke Saddest part of this joke is that anybody under 40 won't get it. https://twitter.com/mattstat/status/266312123884380160 Expectations Got this spam in my Inbox yesterday: The movie industry shows their support to…
Posted inStatistics
The Final Polls & Predictions: What’s The Difference Between Polls And Models?
There are two ways to forecast the election: polls and models. Polls are easy: go out and ask who will vote for whom, tally the results, and print 'em. As…
Posted inCulture Fun Statistics
Help Wanted With Ideas For Survey About Who Will Win Presidency
It's the start of the long, last week of summer (and since I've spent the bulk of it in San Francisco, there was no summer at all), where most of…
Posted inCulture
Stand Up For Religious Freedom San Francisco
The strangest thing about yesterday's Stand Up For Religious Freedom rally in San Francisco were the "undecided" gentlemen who came dressed with brassieres on their heads. This was curious because…
Posted inStatistics
Nobody Called Mitt Romney Stupid
Three years ago in a speech on military matters, President Obama, reading from his ever-present teleprompter, several times mispronounced the word corpsman as corpse-man. (I don't expect you to believe…
Posted inCulture Statistics
Many Lie About Their Support Of Gay Marriage: Study
Thanks to New York Times's (yes) Russ Douthat who alerted us to the paper "Findings from a Decade of Polling on Ballot Measures Regarding the Legal Status of Same Sex…
Posted inFun Statistics
Astrologers See Obama Victory
Alas, our great nation is in retrograde, with the House of Koalemos (Greek god of stupidity) rising, ever rising. Dark cosmic forces have aligned---perhaps maligned is a better way to…
