William M. Briggs

Prediction: Supreme Court Will Punt In Fake Marriage Cake Case

Stream -- Prediction: Supreme Court Will Punt In Fake Marriage Cake Case. A frisson of delight ran through the Christianity community when it was announced Monday the Supreme Court will…

Culture

From The People To Empire; Or, Why We Are Doomed: Part III– Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Here's how the concept of Judicial Review came to be. There was this guy named Marbury, and he had been appointed as a Justice of the Peace in the closing…

Class Statistics

Free Statistics Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part II

Review! We began our first predictive analysis, and spent a lot of time with it. But we still haven't got to the main question! And that is how it should…

Philosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: The Soul Begins At Conception, Part I

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. Part I…

Culture

Many Corporations Taking Pride in Sodomy

It's "pride" day tomorrow in many places. Type "pride month" into Google. One long endless sodomy flag (to use the polite term) decorates the results. Google is proud of sodomy.…

Culture Statistics

Puberty Suppression as ‘Treatment’ for Gender Dysphoria

Puberty Suppression as 'Treatment' for Gender Dysphoria Who's for pumping confused kids full of hormones to suppress the onset of their puberty? It's a common "therapy" given to boys who…

Statistics

On That New Genes & Intelligence Paper

Niggling complaint number one. Big name journals are printing more telegraphic papers than ever before, leaving the meat to ill-edited, hard-to-navigate "supplementary" material. It's a way to get in under…

Class Statistics

Free Statistics Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part I

Regular readers know Uncertainty proposes we go back to the old way of examining and making conclusions about data, and eschew many innovations of the 20th Century. No p-values, no…

Chad Jessup on Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death PenaltyMay 11, 2026
How about three strikes, and you're dead, which of course would only be for the very violent criminals. Why warehouse…
shawn marshall on Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death PenaltyMay 11, 2026
General Pyotr Wrangel in his bokk "Always with Honor" immediately stopped the predation by his own troo[s upon peasants by…
McChuck on Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death PenaltyMay 11, 2026
I firmly support the concept of "three strikes and you're out" as it applies to capital punishment for a series…
McChuck on Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death PenaltyMay 11, 2026
Capital punishment may or may not (although it almost certainly does) reduce criminality in the general sense. But it undeniably…
dadgervais on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 8, 2026
As I (computer engineer, retired) have always maintained: people who believe in mechanical inteligence suffer from "Clever Hans Syndrome". A…

William M. Briggs

Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty

How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power

Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

UFO Reports About To Blast Off!

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay

What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

How A Miracle Turns Mundane

Contest Winner Announced!

Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness

Proof!

Justice Ketanji Roars

Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men

Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?

All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model