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William M. Briggs

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Posted inFun Statistics

Oscar Statistics: Money, Men, and Maturity; Plus Our Predictions

This article was written with the assistance of the very employable John Briggs, who did all the grunt work. Also see And The Winner Goes To...Oscar Statistics Wrap Up. Which…
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Posted inStatistics

Global Average Temperature: What It Isn’t

Update See also: Global Average Temperature: An Exceedingly Brief Introduction To Bayesian Predictive Inference Word is going round that Richard Muller is leading a group of physicists, statisticians, and climatologists…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Global Average Temperature: An Exceedingly Brief Introduction To Bayesian Predictive Inference

Update This post is mandatory reading for those discussing global average temperature. I mean it: exceedingly brief and given only with respect to a univariate time series, such as operationally…
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Posted inBook review Culture

Works Of High Seriousness: Grand Strategies: Literature, Statecraft, and World Order by Charles Hill

Grand Strategies: Literature, Statecraft, and World Order by Charles Hill What a stimulating journey through the greatest works of literature, interpreted with a mind towards statecraft. Hill wants us to…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Do The Rich Pay Their Fair Share?

The answer depends on which country you live. In the United States, the rich not only pay their "fair" share, they pay more. Even stronger, wealthy American citizens pay more…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Are The Masters Winners Getting Younger And Better? Predictions Update

Update As of this writing, the 2012 Masters is halfway through, so it's a good time to re-examine the predictions made last April for this year's tournament. Scores have been…
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Posted inStatistics

Overstretching Climate Change Attribution

Says Camille Parmesan and others, "The biological world is responding rapidly to a changing climate, but attempts to attribute individual impacts to rising greenhouse gases are ill-advised" (from the first…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Taxing The Rich Always Fails Eventually

The solution Mr Obama proposed yesterday for increasing the federal budget was to raise taxes. He did not suggest taking a one-time chunk of money from those who earned it…
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  1. CCReed on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 3, 2025

    A somewhat different take on the late Z-Man: https://bestservedcole.substack.com/p/the-z-man-story

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    I think I stopped listening to radio around the time when Paul Harvey was no longer there to tell us…

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    @Alex: "The other abomination on the am dial is black talk radio. In Chicongo. Pure raciacist hatred of all things…

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    I've got a beautifully restored 1936 RCA Victor super-heterodyne "Magic-Eye" console radio with standard broadcast (AM), short-wave, and medium-wave bands,…

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