Posted inStatistics
How To Properly Handle Proxy Time Series Reconstructions
This is all made up data, so as not to hurt anybody's feelings. Also, this is a sketch. Everything can't be done in 700 words. We are interested in the…
Posted inStatistics
On The Intersection Of Scientist And Politicians—Guest Post by An Engineer
"An Engineer" is a gentleman who has practiced Civil, Mechanical and Industrial Engineering for more than 40 years. He has been granted patents for a number of practical inventions, and…
Posted inStatistics
Too Damn Sure: The Epidemiologist Fallacy
Introduction Marchmain Pharmaceuticals distributes profitizol, said to cure the screaming willies. To assess that claim, Marchmain assembled volunteers suffering this dread malady. Each provided his address, which was used to…
Posted inStatistics
An Ensemble Of Models Is Completely Meaningful, Statistically: Update 2
The Answer to Senn will continue on Monday. Look for my Finger Lakes winery tour tasting notes Sunday! Several readers asked me to comment on an ensemble climate forecasting post…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
More On True Models And Predictive Inference
Not all models are false. So much we have discussed before. To say a model is false is to show that one of the premises which comprise the model is…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Why Falsifiability, Though Flawed, Is Alluring: Part I
A theory is said not to be scientific unless it is falsifiable. This is an understandable definition, but as something philosophically useful it fails because most theories scientists hold are…
Posted inStatistics
Tyranny Of The Mean
The mean can be nasty. This should come as news to no one. But since, the good Lord knows why, this topic made it into the New York Times, it…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
A Common Fallacy In Global Warming Arguments
Our post today is provided by Terry Oldberg, M.S.E., M.S.E.E., P.E. Engineer-Scientist, Citizen of the U.S. That's a lot of letters, Terry! Oldberg joined our Spot the Fallacy Contest, which…
