William M. Briggs

Why I’m Unconvinced By Penrose’s Entropy/Anthropic Argument

There are a number of "constants" used in physics, such as the speed of light, the Planck constant, elementary charge and so forth. Some of these constants are bare, meaning…

Statistics

Trend Models & The Inability To Discover Cause

The plot atop this post is one of an observable, the cause of which is known to be related to a variety of physical, chemical, biological, geographical, and even sociological…

Philosophy Statistics

Every Result Of Unsupervised Learning Is Correct; Or, All Learning Is Supervised

The real point I wish to make is that there is no such thing as unsupervised learning; or, stated another way, Truth exists; or, stated another way, every solution to…

Philosophy

Summary Against Modern Thought: Animal Souls Are Mortal

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. Do not…

Culture

Resolved: Women’s Suffrage Caused More Harm Than Good

If your first reaction upon reading the title was "Whaaaaaaaaaaaaaat!" or "Frrrpppkwiliq boahh boahh boahh!" or some variant of "%&*&^%$##!", then you have discovered the meaning of sacrilegious. Congratulations! You…

Culture Statistics

Gallup: More Adults Identifying As LGBT(…), Which Implies Even More Will

For the purposes of full disclosure (as they say), I self-identify as a yak. Thus far I am the only known Yak-American. But once the advantages of yakitude become better…

Culture

Orthodox Rabbi Suggests Adam & Eve ‘Black Transgender Refugees’

Trouble with words, is that if you're not diligent corruption can set in and cause a label to become garbled or meaningless. Such happened with conservative, which once meant "upholder…

Culture Philosophy

Could You Do Progressivism, But From The Right?

Today's discussion question is posed by somebody calling himself Iulian Bretonescu, in "The Right Religion", which is mandatory reading. Here, for the exceptionally lazy, is a brief summary. (The literature…

Class 37: Simulations Aren’t What You Think – William M. Briggs on The Gremlins Of MCMC: Or, Computer Simulations Are Not What You ThinkFebruary 3, 2025
[…] this excerpt from Chapter 6 of Uncertainty, you must read these posts: here and […]
Johnno on On The Limitations of AI: PredictionsFebruary 1, 2025
The more government can track and observe us, the more data they can feed to the AI, and thus create…
Johnno on Lady Lawyers Become — Gasp! — Science DeniersFebruary 1, 2025
Both these women need to be executed for Resurrection-Denial. How do I know they deny it? The signs of intellectual…
Milton Hathaway on On The Limitations of AI: PredictionsJanuary 31, 2025
I have been experiencing a certain amount of schadenfreude watching a segment of the population squirm over the prospect of…
Rudolph Harrier on On The Limitations of AI: PredictionsJanuary 30, 2025
History of computer science should be mandatory learning. EVERY single advancement in computer science has been accompanied by hype that…

William M. Briggs

Class 37: Simulations Aren’t What You Think

On The Limitations of AI: Predictions

Lady Lawyers Become — Gasp! — Science Deniers

Class 36: Paradox Lost

The Death Of DIE—In University Science

Vaccine Bullying Is Scientism

I Don’t Want Immigrants Is All The Reason I Need

Class 35: The Grand Scheme: All Of Probability & Uncertainty In 30 Minutes

More On Monkeys Typing Shakespeare & Why Chance Isn’t Enough

Surgeon General Demands Label War Against Wine

Class 34: The Excesses & Errors Of Epidemiology III

England’s Rulers Insist Natives Must Assimilate To “Migrants”

Experts: Please Begin Panicking Over Bird Flu. Us: No. Experts: (Sob)

Environmental Experts To Rip Out Trees, Build Solar Electric Plant In Snow Belt To “Save The Environment”

Class 33: The Excesses & Errors Of Epidemiology II

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