Introduction There isn’t as much space between explanation and prediction as you’d think; both are had from the same elements of the problem at hand. Here’s how it all works. I’ll illustrate […]
What Scientific Idea Is Ready For Retirement? Hypothesis Tests
Edge asked a whopping number of named persons which ideas are ready to be expunged from the thing that is Science. Somehow my invitation got lost in the aether, an oversight which […]
Comments On Dawid’s Prequential Probability
Phil Dawid is a brilliant mathematical statistician who introduced (in 1984) the theory of prequential probability1 to describe a new-ish way of doing statistics. We ought to understand this theory. I’ll give […]
What Statistics Really Is: Part Last
Read Part I, Part Paradox, Part II Recapitulation: we have Pr(p|qm) where p is a proposition of interest, q the evidence we have compiled in the form of observations and so forth, […]
Causation And Correlation
Our friend Christopher Monckton of Brenchley wrote a piece over at Anthony Watt’s place in which he said (Reader KA Rodgers asked me to have a look): CO2 concentration continues to climb. […]
What Statistics Really Is: Part II
Read Part I, Part Paradox I claimed, and it is true, that all statistical problems could be written , where p is a proposition of interest and q is our evidence, or […]
What Do Means Mean?
Update In order that it does not get lost over the weekend, part two of this post will run on Sunday. This is part one of a two part post, but not […]
Logical Probability Data Analysis, Measurement Error Example
Read the introduction to this first. If you don’t, you will be lost, lost, lost. Logical probability answer to B The answer to B follows from A. The picture is of what […]
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