Actually, all frequentists and Bayesians are logical probabilists, but if I put that in the title, few would believe it. A man might call himself an Anti-Gravitational Theorist, a science which describes […]
Many (thanks!) readers sent links to Tyler Vigen’s Spurious Correlations, whose motto is “Discover a new correlation – an interesting spurious correlation each day!” My favorite is tying the yearly number of […]
Jim Franklin hosted this classic essay of the late David Stove’s for many years. But he received a complaint from one of the intellectually Tolerant. As Franklin said on this site, “An […]
This post originally appeared in longer form at Bob’s place. There’s a lot of meat here; I recommend biting it off in small chunks. “Of course I believe in free will. I […]
One of the services of this blog is grammatical guidance. In that spirit, here are phrases which should be forbidden, and will be once I am in charge (all highlights mine): “If […]
Read Part IV. We’re almost done. Only one more after this. There are examples without number of the proper use of Bayes’s Theorem: the probability you have cancer given a positive test […]
Read Part I. What is the probability that “The Detroit Tigers win today’s game” (which has not yet been played)? The truth of the proposition (in quotes) is not known and is […]
Following Part II, here are some examples to show the differences between objectivist, subjectivist, and frequentist probabilities derived from fixed premises and set conclusions. Example 1 Not all probability is objectively strictly […]
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