Regular readers know Uncertainty proposes we go back to the old way of examining and making conclusions about data, and eschew many innovations of the 20th Century. No p-values, no tests, no […]
The Danish Mask Study Shows Masks Aren’t Worth It
HUFFIN’, PUFFIN’ & BLUFFIN’ The blustery squid-stained panicked hersteric Nassim Nicholas Taleb—the man who called those who dared not run around screeching like teenage girls as he did at the start of […]
Probability Thought Experiment With NNT: Reader Question
From reader Ernst, this interesting probability/statistics question. First, NNT = number needed to treat, which is, stealing from this site to save time, “The Number Needed to Treat (NNT) is the number […]
Choose Predictive Over Parametric Every Time
Gaze and wonder at picture which heads this article, which I lifted from John Haman’s nifty R package ciTools. The numbers in the plot are made up whole cloth to demonstrate the […]
Lovely Example of Statistics Gone Bad
The graph above (biggified version here) was touted by Simon Kuestenmacher (who posts many beautiful maps). He said “This plot shows the objects that were found to be ‘the most distant object’ […]
Parameters Aren’t What You Think
I was asked to comment on a post by Dan Simpson exploring the Bernstein-von Mises theorem. This post fits in with the Data Science class, a happy coincidence, and has been so […]
Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part III
You must review: Part I, II. Not reviewing is like coming to class late and saying “What did I miss?” Note the New & Improved title! Here are the main points thus […]
Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part VI
Review! This class is neither frequentist nor Bayesian nor machine learning in theory. It is pure probability, and unlike any other class available. And for the right price! Last time we completed […]
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