Search Results for “prediction forecast” – Page 3

More On Coronavirus Model Accuracy

This post is mainly for me to have a place to collect model accuracy stories. If you see ones I missed, please add them to the comments. https://twitter.com/brithume/status/1247666625958023168 Yesterday I…

Statistics

Some Coronavirus Predictions Are Coming True

CDC Correctly Predicts Second Wave https://twitter.com/washingtonpost/status/1252707856442327041 Also: CDC Director: Next Winter's COVID-19 Season Could Be Even Worse "There's a possibility that the assault of the virus on our nation next…

Capitalism Is Dead: Long Live The Expertocracy. Burnham’s <em>The Managerial Revolution</em> at 80

Book review Culture

Capitalism Is Dead: Long Live The Expertocracy. Burnham’s The Managerial Revolution at 80

James Burnham wrote The Managerial Revolution: What Is Happening in the World in 1941 to argue that capitalism was waning and being replaced everywhere by managerialism. He was right. The…

SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Divine Knowledge & Divinations Of Demons

Previous post. The demons start at paragraph 14. But please don't skip the first bits, which are necessary to understand the latter. ON THE GIFTS OF GRATUITOUS GRACE, INCLUDING A…

Statistics

Coronavirus Update VIII: Blown Forecasts & Peak Performance

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…

Culture

Draft Realist Catholic Climate Declaration: Please Share!

Here we are, friends. As promised, Draft 2 of the Realist Catholic Climate Declaration. Draft 1 is at the bottom, with a summary of critiques. The goal is to have…

Class Statistics

Coronavirus Update IV — Take A Deep Breath — If You Still Can

Apologies for the duplicate email! I hit the wrong button yesterday and published the incomplete update meant for today. All the good stuff, caveats, and explanations are linked, some in…

Statistics

Coronavirus Update XII — Who Has The Right Numbers?

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…

Colbert on Why I Don’t Want To Be Made To Support IsraelApril 18, 2024
Religiously, morally, historically, there's no argues for Israel. Especially religiously. Actual judaism is just a rabbinic scam, created 19th centuries…
Cary D Cotterman on William M. Briggs on Embracing Uncertainty and Stats as a False God – ThorinquiryApril 18, 2024
How to think begins simply with thinking, instead of just hearing and obeying. Every time we think for ourselves, our…
Hagfish Bagpipe on William M. Briggs on Embracing Uncertainty and Stats as a False God – ThorinquiryApril 18, 2024
That was a fun discussion. Never heard of Thorin, loved his scottish brogue. He has a good mind that makes…
Milton Hathaway on William M. Briggs on Embracing Uncertainty and Stats as a False God – ThorinquiryApril 18, 2024
"the mere presence of an alternate explanation is useless" This brought to mind the latest reincarnation of the UFO (UAP?)…
Nate on Briggs You Tool! UFOs Are Real & Driven By Top Secret American Pilots, Insists ReaderApril 18, 2024
Damn this is from June. You just reposted on Twitter and here i am thinking it's today's post.