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AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest Panic
Posted inStatistics

AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest Panic

Here is a typical calm well-reasoned take on computer models (a.k.a. AI): I pointed out: "Stop terrorizing yourself. AI is just computer models, hooked to the wall by cords that…
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Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series
Posted inStatistics

Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don't expect all want to read these posts. So please don't feel like you must. Yet, I…
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Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam Performance
Posted inStatistics

Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam Performance

Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart at age four gave what was by all accounts a terrific piano recital, the first of many. In more recent times, Kit Armstrong (now 33) at age…
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Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions
Posted inStatistics

Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions

Not long ago, a 16 year old girl had her breasts sliced off because a therapist convinced her she was a boy. A surgeon sharpened his scalpel and did the…
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Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI
Posted inStatistics

Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI

There are two new claims from last week that artificial general intelligence (AGI) has been reached, as detailed in Tree of Woe's recent article on the subject. One claim is…
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Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well
Posted inStatistics

Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well

The hersterical (there is no misspelling) headline: "Polar bears are 'rewriting their DNA' to survive warming Arctic, study suggests" (one of many who "reported" on this). I suppose it's good…
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Impossible LSAT Statistics Question
Posted inStatistics

Impossible LSAT Statistics Question

Here is a recent LSAT question setup (thanks to Thanatos Savehn for pointing it out): And here are the possible answers: Please take a moment to think and answer. Do…
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How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)
Posted inStatistics

How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)

The experiment with women's suffrage, driven originally and sustained by Equality, is about a century old. Let's look at one simple number. Here from the US Census, June 2020, are…
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  1. Johnno on The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s FollyMarch 17, 2026

    "“How many souls make it to Heaven” is an attribute that can’t be expressed with variable data." We can at…

  2. Johnno on The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s FollyMarch 17, 2026

    "What does it mean to say that “a religion is true”? IF? does this imply there are fake religions?" Yes.…

  3. Johnno on Lancet Discovers Public Health Is PoliticsMarch 17, 2026

    Doctors also eat at McDonald's. I have seen them. I have evidence! I dare say, some even hold stock options…

  4. John M on The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s FollyMarch 17, 2026

    "How many souls make it to Heaven" is an attribute that can't be expressed with variable data.

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s FollyMarch 17, 2026

    As it happens, Stephen Pinker and I were at the same university, around the same time. No, I don't recall…

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