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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Group Differences: An Exceedingly Brief Introduction To Bayesian Predictive Inference

Read the first entry in this series. All of what follows will appear ridiculously obvious to those who have had no statistical training. Those who have must struggle. In a…
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Posted inStatistics

Iowahawk Does Statistics—-Properly!

Thanks to the many readers who sent in this tip. The Iowahawk, a.k.a. David Burge, the beloved assassin of pomposity and pretension has taken the often hysterical Paul "Global Warming…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Global Average Temperature: An Exceedingly Brief Introduction To Bayesian Predictive Inference

Update This post is mandatory reading for those discussing global average temperature. I mean it: exceedingly brief and given only with respect to a univariate time series, such as operationally…
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Posted inStatistics

Global Average Temperature: What It Isn’t

Update See also: Global Average Temperature: An Exceedingly Brief Introduction To Bayesian Predictive Inference Word is going round that Richard Muller is leading a group of physicists, statisticians, and climatologists…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

TSA Expands Jurisdiction To Sidewalks: Where Is The Left?

"Sir? Please step over here. You need to be x-rayed." "What? Get outta my way. Who are you?" said the man. "Sir, please step over to the machine. You have…
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Posted inStatistics

Stock Tomato Seeds! Global Warming Is Coming!

It must be a joke. The punchline is surely coming. Ha, ha! Hoarding tomato seeds! Bars on his basement windows! Hilarious! This guy really nails nuttiness. He'll shame a few…
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Posted inFun Statistics

And The Winner Goes To…Oscar Statistics Wrap Up

Our model was right: The King's Speech won. In this weekend's Oscar Statistics post, we modeled the chances of each nominated movie. We guessed that the movie most likely to…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Oscar Statistics: Money, Men, and Maturity; Plus Our Predictions

This article was written with the assistance of the very employable John Briggs, who did all the grunt work. Also see And The Winner Goes To...Oscar Statistics Wrap Up. Which…
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  1. Tracy Platt on The Apples In A Sack Paradox: Solve It Or You Get No Pie TomorrowNovember 26, 2025

    I think Rudolf comes closest except for this being a garbage problem. My guess is we will see similar arguments…

  2. John Pate on The Apples In A Sack Paradox: Solve It Or You Get No Pie TomorrowNovember 26, 2025

    Mr Harrier is on the right lines: see previous blog where I was berating sundry for worrying about using probability…

  3. John Pate on Antichrist, by Saint Robert BellarmineNovember 26, 2025

    Everyone needs to go and read PK Dick's "V.A.L.I.S." which he said was true but fictiionalised account of what's going…

  4. C-Marie on Antichrist, by Saint Robert BellarmineNovember 26, 2025

    Thank you Matt for this article!!! The One World Government and the One World Religion are on their way. Let…

  5. Rudolph Harrier on The Apples In A Sack Paradox: Solve It Or You Get No Pie TomorrowNovember 26, 2025

    I don't understand your cardinality approach. If I remove an infinite set from another of the same cardinality, the result…

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