Search Results for “probability” – Page 27

When Testing Parameters Might Make Sense

This example is derived from ongoing conversations with a colleague, and portions of this post (mathematified) might show up in a paper. The genesis of this example is from Ron…

Statistics

FDA Releases Pfizer COVID Vaccine Safety Data: Should You Take It?

WHO'S IN CHARGE FDA report is here. Before discussing it, I want to emphasize that making this vaccine mandatory is evil, the work of tyrants. There is nothing in the…

Philosophy

Darwinian Delusions Discussed Discursively

Let's watch this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=noj4phMT9OE Round table with Stephen Meyer, David Berlinski, and David Gelernter. The occasion was Gelernter's review of Meyer's and Berlinski's anti-Darwin book in Claremont Review "Given up…

Statistics

Coronavirus Update XXV: The Suppression Of Hydroxychloroquine & Other Conspiracies

The first section of this are fun conspiracies to highlight the political crisis. The second section are the numbers showing the medical crisis is over. The third section discusses the…

Statistics

The Epidemiologist Fallacy Strikes Again — Pesticides & Autism

Long-time readers will recall the epidemiologist fallacy is a shotgun marriage of the ecological fallacy and wee p-values. Make that and/or confidence intervals. For confidence intervals are equivalent to p-values…

Statistics

New Paper: Don’t Test, Decide — Updated: Now With Paper Link!

Paper link. By moi. Abstract: There is no reason to use traditional hypothesis testing. If one's goal is to assess past performance of a model, then a simple measure or…

Statistics

VI Arnold On Models

Thanks to reader Victor Domin for pointing us to the paper "On teaching mathematics" by V.I. Arnold. Here's an extended quote on models (do read the whole thing). At this…

Philosophy Statistics

An Argument Against The Multiverse

The multiverse might be real. God might in His wisdom and love of completeness and true diversity and the joy of filling all possible potentials with actuality might have created…

Hagfish Bagpipe on Lesson 13: No “Fair” Dice & Jaynes SymmetryJuly 16, 2024
More? What more fame and riches could there be for the Statistician to the Stars?! No sir, what I mean…
Paul murphy on Lesson 13: No “Fair” Dice & Jaynes SymmetryJuly 16, 2024
1 - re hagfish response: for fame and riches you need to say stuff lots of people believe in ways…
Briggs on Lesson 13: No “Fair” Dice & Jaynes SymmetryJuly 16, 2024
Hagfish, So what you're saying is that I should write another, simpler version of either of those two books, and…
C. P. Benischek on Arrest All Stochastic Terrorists In Trump Assassination Attempt & Civilian Murder & ShootingsJuly 16, 2024
Feast of Our Lady of Fatima Sgt. Briggs On the Nose. May I suggest criminal prosecution for hate speech inciting…
Hagfish Bagpipe on Lesson 13: No “Fair” Dice & Jaynes SymmetryJuly 16, 2024
"There are no such things as “fair” dies, or coins, or anything." Good god, man -- depriving men of their…