William M. Briggs

The Week In Doom — State-Mandated Sodomy Edition

Item Canadian doctors tell father they will inject his 14-year-old daughter with male hormones for transition without his permission It would be wrong, and probably illegal, to say that the…

<em>The Magician and the Cardsharp</em> — by Karl Johnson

Book review

The Magician and the Cardsharp — by Karl Johnson

This post, which could use some better writing, originally ran on 5 June 2009. But it's a lot of fun. The Magician and the Cardsharp: The Search for America's Greatest…

Philosophy Statistics

Yep, Probability Is Not As Simple As You Think

Couple of folks (Mike W, Dan Hughes) asked me to comment on the article "The concept of probability is not as simple as you think" by Nevin Climenhaga. Three popular…

Culture

Orthodoxy’s War: Part I — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Prologue I've always thought that the concept of nuclear power was spooky. The whole idea of messing with the essential stability of the material world was eerie. The idea that…

Statistics

Another AI Exaggeration: It Can Say Why There Is Religious Conflict

Dear reader, though you won't believe it, there is such a thing as the Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation. When you search its name, Google shows you this:…

Philosophy

Hell & Heaven Are Real — Act Accordingly

I went to my first ever Russian Byzantine Catholic mass on Sunday, and very much enjoyed among other things the priest's homily, which---miracle!---did not shy away from the key message…

Philosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Is Everywhere

Previous post. There is no escape. This chapter is a primer on the claim. Next week a difficult chapter on the science of it all. But do not miss the…

Culture

This Week In Doom — No More Female Mothers Edition

Item Guess what they want us to give up next. Item USMC PFT Score Charts (Saw this from PD Mangan.) The following are the detailed score charts for both male…

Paul Fischer on Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time SeriesJanuary 30, 2026
Great lecture, William. Took a year of time series in grad school...all math, zero discussion of how fragile “trends” really…
Martin on Fatima, Russia & You, Part IV — Guest Post by Ianto WattJanuary 30, 2026
Brilliant. Thank you.
spetzer86 on Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time SeriesJanuary 29, 2026
You also need to consider the amount of trust in the data over time. If you have any reason to…
spetzer86 on Who Still Listens To AM Radio?January 29, 2026
Over 60, used to listen to AM all the time as a kid. Mostly WHO and other Des Moines stations.…
Steve on Who Still Listens To AM Radio?January 29, 2026
Yep. Flyover, so during the daytime, there was only local dreck, but nighttime, KFYR (Bismark), KOMA (Oklahoma City), WLW (Cinncinnati,…

William M. Briggs

Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series

Who Still Listens To AM Radio?

Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital Twins

What Science Says About Making Medication Mandatory

What A Winter

FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability

Class 76: That’s Not Noise. That’s Signal!

AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)

Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis Shooting

Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose Money

Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time Series

The Consent Fallacy

On Laws Banning Hacking Women’s Genitals & Imposing Beliefs

Register Your Predictions For 2026!

Happy New Year!

How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?

Why The Drake Equation Fails

Canada Invents New Euphemism For Doctor Killings

Merry Christmas!

Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By Science

Why British & EU Rulers Are Juicing War With Russia