Statistics – Page 252 – William M. Briggs

Super Bowl Indicator Busted: A Sports/Markets Indicator for the Next Century—Guest Post by Doug Magowan

Doug Magowan spends his days poring over financial numbers. Today he offers us, tongue firmly in cheek, a new way to get rich quick. All you have to do is…

Statistics

Planet Earth Al Gore Explains ‘Snowmageddon’: Fox News Story

I was quoted by Gene Koprowski in his Fox News story "Planet Earth Al Gore Explains 'Snowmageddon'". (This accounted for the several hundred Google and other search engine redirects to…

Statistics

Are Tree Rings Low Pass Temperature Filters?

I don't know the answer to this question: I am not an expert in this area, and I haven't the time or resources to track down the data to discover…

Culture Statistics

Will The Religious Out-Breed Us All?

Thanks to long-time reader and contributer Ari Schwartz for bringing this to our attention. "It is widely agreed that religion has biological foundations---that belief in the supernatural, obedience to authority…

Statistics

The Similarities Between Psychics And Global Warming Activists

The statistical evidence series will continue after the weekend. "I see the letter G." The woman closed her eyes, cocked her head, and looked inwardly. She became grave, tense. "There's...wait…

Philosophy Statistics

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part III

To clarify: to prove false means to demonstrate a valid argument with a certain conclusion. If a theory/model says an event is merely unlikely---make it as unlikely as you like,…

Philosophy Statistics

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part II

I hope all understand that we are not just discussing statistics and probability models: what is true here is true for all theories/models (mathematics, physics, chemistry, climate, etc.). Read Part…

Philosophy Statistics

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part I

These next posts are in the way of being notes to myself. Logic is the study of the relation between statements. For example, if "All green men are irascible, and…

Phil R on Experts: Please Begin Panicking Over Bird Flu. Us: No. Experts: (Sob)January 8, 2025
Think your enemies have attacked again. By this becoming she asked us to imply... I think she implies, we infer.…
Tars Tarkas on Experts: Please Begin Panicking Over Bird Flu. Us: No. Experts: (Sob)January 8, 2025
Don't knock e-scooters. Some of them are incredibly fast. Imagine driving a kick-scooter on the interstate at 70mph. Some African…
Wyotana on Register Your Predictions For 2025!January 7, 2025
1. Our overlords cause or allow an attack very much like the Oct. 7 extravaganza in "Israel". Unlike the original…
Briggs on Environmental Experts To Rip Out Trees, Build Solar Electric Plant In Snow Belt To “Save The Environment”January 7, 2025
All, Nick Rhudy has an interesting theory on why Michigan's DNR wants to lease land on which to tear down…
Cary Cotterman on Environmental Experts To Rip Out Trees, Build Solar Electric Plant In Snow Belt To “Save The Environment”January 7, 2025
The freakout over anything associated with "nuclear" isn't new. In the 1950s the U.S. Air Force tested atomic bomb drops…