Book review – Page 24 – William M. Briggs

The limits of statistics: black swans and randomness

The author of Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, has penned the essay THE FOURTH QUADRANT: A MAP OF THE LIMITS OF STATISTICS over at Edge.org…

Book review

Transforming American Military Policy

Finding the Target: The Transformation of American Military Policy by Frederick W. Kagan, 2006. Encounter Books. Recommendation: read This book is an excellent accounting of the theories that have gripped…

Book review

Calculated Risks: How to know when numbers deceive you: Gerd Gigerenzer

Gerd Gigerenzer, Simon and Schuster, New York, 310 pp., ISBN 0-7432-0556-1, $25.00 Should healthy women get regular mammograms to screen for breast cancer? The surprising answer, according to this wonderful…

Book review

“The Future of Everything” by David Orrell

The Future of Everything by David Orrell. Thunder's Mouth Press, New York. I wanted to like this book, which was supposed to be an examination of how well scientists made…

Book review Philosophy

The Algebra of Probable Inference: Richard T. Cox

This is a lovely, lovely book and I can't believe it has taken me this long to find and read it (November 2005: I was lead to this book via…

Book review Philosophy

The Rationality of Induction: David Stove

Is deductive logic empirical? No. Is inductive logic also empirical? No. Is induction justified and, if so, is it just an extension of logic? Yes. These are Stove's conclusions as…

Johnno on House Cramnibus Funds New Follow-The-Science PanicsDecember 20, 2024
We should offer to pay for our leader's mandatory lobotomies as part of the spending passage. MANDATORY. Cite Biden's state…
Ryan on Class 32: The Evils, Excesses & Errors Of Epidemiology I (All Should Read)December 20, 2024
I think you're being a bit harsh. The authors concluded as follows in their abstract: "[W]e found an excess ALS…
Probability Puzzle Paradox: Which Boxes To Take? – William M. Briggs on A Twist In A Solution To Newcomb’s ParadoxDecember 20, 2024
[…] did Newcomb’s Paradox (so called) years ago, and a twist in premises after that. But I thought it would…
Uncle Mike on House Cramnibus Funds New Follow-The-Science PanicsDecember 19, 2024
I don't understand the desire by dems and reps alike to throttle this country to death before Jan 20. Such…
hudbwu on Probability Puzzle Paradox: Which Boxes To Take?December 19, 2024
Personally, I'd play the expected utility with a perfect Guesser and strategic dominance with an imperfect Guesser. If we'd be…