William M. Briggs

The Week In Doom — Religion Of Man Triumphant Edition

Item They're tightening the vise. As predicted, they're coming for your money. As one tweet down in the thread says (my emphasis): '"EU needs #digital single market. #Regulation should be…

Culture Statistics

The Death of Christmas — Guest Post by Uncle Mike

Last December 19th President Trump ordered the withdrawal of 2,000 American troops from Syria. The New York Times called the action "abrupt and chaotic" and reported: The decision brought a…

Statistics

A Case Of Bad Statistics In An IQ-Intelligence Study

We're going to soon talk more about "IQ" and "intelligence". I'm working on a more in-depth article on the subject to carefully explicate the vast over-certainties I see on "both…

Fun

How’d We Do On Our 2018 Predictions?

How'd we do? Let me put it this way: the Magic 8 Ball is in no danger of losing its position as top soothsayer. We were game, but overall there…

Fun

Register Your Predictions For 2019!

As has been our tradition these many years, it's time to register our predictions for the coming year. We look at how well we did last year tomorrow. Rules: Number…

Statistics

The Probability Of Your Existence

A version of this column originally ran 7 July 2014. To the nearest order of magnitude, there have existed, including us, about 100 billion human beings. This proves what was…

Statistics

The Monty Hall Problem — Solved!

In honor of Monty Hall, who passed away this past weekend (in October 2017), this classic article (which ran long ago, the date lost due to the hacking, solving his…

Statistics

How Many Geniuses Are There?

This post originally appeared 15 September 2008. Here is a question I often give on exams: What is the probability that the next child to be born will be a…

Cookie on More On Monkeys Typing Shakespeare & Why Chance Isn’t EnoughJanuary 17, 2025
Could the figure be reduced through incentives. A raisin drops down a shute when a word is produced? Or will…
gamecockjerry on Register Your Predictions For 2025!January 17, 2025
1. My selection for this year's dead pool is Nancy Pelosi. 2. Trump begins deporting criminal illegal aliens, but falls…
John Pate on England’s Rulers Insist Natives Must Assimilate To “Migrants”January 17, 2025
Given the shenigans around the attempt to engineer The Great Reset by the powers that be I suspect we should…
Brian (bulaore ) on More On Monkeys Typing Shakespeare & Why Chance Isn’t EnoughJanuary 16, 2025
Hey Briggs Some monkies ain't typing at all. What gives? While I'm munching on chicharrones and enjoying the afternoon, I…
Tars Tarkas on Surgeon General Demands Label War Against WineJanuary 16, 2025
In my opinion, 2-3 drinks per day is way beyond light or moderate drinking. IMHO, anyone who drinks literally every…

William M. Briggs

More On Monkeys Typing Shakespeare & Why Chance Isn’t Enough

Surgeon General Demands Label War Against Wine

Class 34: The Excesses & Errors Of Epidemiology III

England’s Rulers Insist Natives Must Assimilate To “Migrants”

Experts: Please Begin Panicking Over Bird Flu. Us: No. Experts: (Sob)

Environmental Experts To Rip Out Trees, Build Solar Electric Plant In Snow Belt To “Save The Environment”

Class 33: The Excesses & Errors Of Epidemiology II

Register Your Predictions For 2025!

Happy New Year!

How Did We Do In Our 2024 Predictions?

Hot New The Science: Kids Are Having Climate Emotions

Merry Christmas!

The Lesson Scientists Never Learn

House Cramnibus Funds New Follow-The-Science Panics

Probability Puzzle Paradox: Which Boxes To Take?

As Woke Falls, What Rises?

Class 32: The Excesses & Errors Of Epidemiology I (All Should Read)

Who’s Better at Playing Doctor, Boys Or Girls?

How The Enlightenment Led To Contraception (And Other Forms of Anti-Natal Behavior)

Science Model Told To Say Masks Work Discovers Masks Work

In Which Feynman Makes A Mistake: Negative Probabilities (Used In AI, QM, Finance)

More On Monkeys Typing Shakespeare & Why Chance Isn’t Enough

Surgeon General Demands Label War Against Wine

The Week In Doom — Religion Of Man Triumphant Edition

The Death of Christmas — Guest Post by Uncle Mike

A Case Of Bad Statistics In An IQ-Intelligence Study

How’d We Do On Our 2018 Predictions?

Register Your Predictions For 2019!

The Probability Of Your Existence

The Monty Hall Problem — Solved!

How Many Geniuses Are There?

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification