Search Results for “probability” – Page 23

Disproving Kossin’s Increasing Hurricane Intensity Claims: Update — Guest Post by Greg Kent

Editor's note I have strong views on statistical "significance", confidence intervals, p-values, and all that, finding them harmful and worse. However, Kossin used these concepts, and a criticism of his…

FREE CLASS

UNCERTAINTY & PROBABILITY THEORY: THE LOGIC OF SCIENCE Links to YouTube, Rumble, Bitchute, and Twitter inside each class. Jayne's Book (first part). Class 1: Logic teaser (blog, Substack). Class 2:…

Statistics

Why Science Is Broken: Hillsdale Speech Video & Transcript Now Online

Video Here it is: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JLFDjRS_928 And here is Greg's talk: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z6VMcIp21mA Transcript I followed this closely during the speech, but did not adhere to it perfectly. I don't have a…

Fun

Blog Mechanics: Ideas Solicited On How To Handle Comments: Update

It was remarked the other day that a comment moderation system of some kind should be used here on the blog. The reason is that are some people who come…

Statistics

One Milwaukee Ballot Curiosity & One New Theoretical Voter Fraud Tool

Milwaukee Milwaukee is comprised of a number of wards, almost 500, from which was collected the number of votes each candidate received in both the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections…

Statistics

Claiming To Be Able To Blame Weather Events On Global Warming

This is not a big story, but it's worth highlighting because of the pernicious effects of science journalism, which suffers from the same faults as political journalism. Emphasis on extremes,…

Statistics

Breaking: Wind From Tropical Cyclones Cure Hemorrhoids

Lost count of the number of "studies" that feel---not think---that they must invoke terror to justify their undertaking. Take this peer-reviewed gem from Nature Communications by Robbie M. Parks and…

Statistics

Cohort Increases In Sex With Same-Sex Partners

Today's post title is stolen from a paper by the same name "Cohort Increases In Sex With Same-Sex Partners: Do Trends Vary by Gender, Race, and Class?" in Gender &…

C-Marie on Communism Doesn’t Go Away Until Egalitarianism Dies: The Works of David Stove 3August 31, 2024
Sooo happy for you and your family!! God bless, C-Marie
NLR on Killing A Paradox: The Two EnvelopesAugust 31, 2024
Another thing is that there are two kinds of uncertainty in this problem. There's the uncertainty of how much money…
hudbwu on Quelling Violence In Terror States! The Return Of DickmanAugust 31, 2024
@JH: Marriage = sex, more or less. A case can be made H. sapiens evolved into exclusive lifelong monogamy, that…
Nate on Killing A Paradox: The Two EnvelopesAugust 31, 2024
Riggs, there's no contradiction in the 2nd item. The second problem simply is not the same problem the same as…
AG McNeil on Communism Doesn’t Go Away Until Egalitarianism Dies: The Works of David Stove 3August 31, 2024
"Here is a depressing thread of 40-something women who believe they can still have kids." Why would that be depressing?…