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William M. Briggs

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Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
March 17, 2026
Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics
March 16, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Posted by By Briggs April 23, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay

Posted by By Briggs April 22, 2026
Continue Reading
Brain Scientist Thinks Their Brains Are Out To Kill Them And Get Away With It
Posted inStatistics

Brain Scientist Thinks Their Brains Are Out To Kill Them And Get Away With It

The peer-reviewed paper by Messrs Dor-Ziderman, Lutz, and Goldstein is in NeuroImage (the journal went with the hip no space) "Prediction-based neural mechanisms for shielding the self from existential threat".…
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Cultural Appropriation Guarantees Tribal Politics, Anti-People-Of-No-Colorism
Posted inCulture

Cultural Appropriation Guarantees Tribal Politics, Anti-People-Of-No-Colorism

It is interesting to examine to what extent the progressive, SJW idea of "cultural appropriation" is unique and in how it fits in with their overall narrative. As an example…
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The Fading Of Christianity In Numbers. Embracing The Dying Of The Light?
Posted inCulture Statistics

The Fading Of Christianity In Numbers. Embracing The Dying Of The Light?

An interesting statistic, the source of which I do not know and therefore cannot verify, shows that those who claim they are "not religious" is increasing in North Africa. Libya…
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Synod Leaders Sign Pact Of Extreme Global Warming, Silly Walks
Posted inCulture

Synod Leaders Sign Pact Of Extreme Global Warming, Silly Walks

Over the weekend, so ace report Edward Pentin tells us, leaders at the Amazon Synod signed a document "Pact of the Catacombs for the Common Home", an echo of an…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: On Miracles
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: On Miracles

Previous post. It's a miracle! ON MIRACLES 1 Things that are at times divinely accomplished, apart from the generally established order in things, are customarily called miracles; for we admire…
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The Week In Doom — It’s On Edition
Posted inCulture

The Week In Doom — It’s On Edition

Item Big changes to grueling Special Forces course draw scrutiny (Thanks to Bill Raynor for the tip.) For the nearly 200 candidates scrambling through Hoffman Forest at Camp Mackall, the…
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Pew Says Trust In Scientists Up. How Depressing
Posted inCulture

Pew Says Trust In Scientists Up. How Depressing

Pew says "Americans' confidence that scientists act in the public interest is up since 2016". This surprises, because we have been tracking how science is becoming woker and woker, the…
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Epidemiologist Fallacy Strikes Again: Miscarriages And Air Pollution Edition
Posted inStatistics

Epidemiologist Fallacy Strikes Again: Miscarriages And Air Pollution Edition

I love air pollution. Smells like progress. Good for you. Nothing healthier. Except smoking. There, now that that's out of the way, let's get to the paper "Air pollution-induced missed…
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  1. John Pate on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 23, 2026

    Ovarian Logic has no relationship to, and is not amenable to, formal logic or considerations of causality and empirical observation.…

  2. C-Marie on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 22, 2026

    Well, skin colour is given by God to each of us. And, Jesus Christ is the only Saviour. Let us…

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 22, 2026

    @Cary I'm not sure what a "Martian giant" is... Elon Musk? I tried Google but all I found was a…

  4. John M on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 22, 2026

    Liberalism Is a Mental Disorder by Michael Savage, ISBN 1-59555-006-2

  5. Cary D Cotterman on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 22, 2026

    You speak wisdom, Martian giant.

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