Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
The Humble Tautology And Probability
Start with the premises P1 = "All men are mortal" and P2 = "Socrates is a man" and from them we want to know the status of the conclusion C…
Posted inStatistics
Climate Denial And Slavery
A common trope among academic philosophers, academic sociologists and the like---people without training in physics, that is---is to compare skepticism of the most shocking climate prognostications with belief in, and…
Posted inFun Statistics
On Not Winning The Lottery: Horrible Death & Strategies For Winning
Still Here The unthinkable has happened: neither I, nor most certainly you, have won the lottery. Notice I did not use the word "inconceivable", but merely "unthinkable." For while it…
Posted inFun Statistics
What I Will Do When I Win The Lottery
This will be my last blog post. At least, my last for some time. For I have bought a Mega Millions lottery ticket, whose face value is reportedly $540 million…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Bayes Theorem Proves Jesus Existed And Didn’t Exist
In his shockingly neglected, A Treatise on Probability John Maynard Keynes put his finger on the difficulty people have with probability, particularly Bayes's Theorem: No other formula in the alchemy…
Posted inFun Statistics
Global Warming Feedback Confirmed!
Just some gentle teasing today. Every climate scientist knows that it's the feedback that counts, that the few squirts of carbon dioxide contributed to the atmosphere are powerless in isolation.…
Posted inStatistics
Steven Chu Walks To Work
Energy Secretary Steven Chu, a winner of the Nobel physics prize and therefore in the mind of the public a certified genius, walks to work. At least part way. He…
Posted inStatistics
Climate: Uncertainty Means That Things Can Be Worse Than Our Best Guess: Part I
The title sentence was spoken by professor Stephan Lewandowsky from the School of Psychology, University of Western Australia. The psychologist Lewandowsky is concerned that many are not as concerned about…