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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Truly Random Numbers Found?
June 15, 2026
Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC
June 11, 2026
Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!
June 10, 2026
The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers
June 8, 2026
Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?
June 4, 2026
No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders
June 3, 2026
How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
June 1, 2026
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Truly Random Numbers Found?

Posted by By Briggs June 15, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC

Posted by By Briggs June 11, 2026
Continue Reading
The Week In Doom — Bad Science Edition
Posted inCulture

The Week In Doom — Bad Science Edition

Abbreviated doom this week since I'm on the road. Item Mathematicians divided over faculty hiring practices that require proof of efforts to promote diversity (Thanks to Kip Hansen for the…
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Remarks On Pew’s Polarized Partisan Poll
Posted inStatistics

Remarks On Pew’s Polarized Partisan Poll

Pew has a large survey out with the title "In a Politically Polarized Era, Sharp Divides in Both Partisan Coalitions: Partisanship remains biggest factor in public's political values." I have…
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New Paper: Don’t Test, Decide — Updated: Now With Paper Link!
Posted inStatistics

New Paper: Don’t Test, Decide — Updated: Now With Paper Link!

Paper link. By moi. Abstract: There is no reason to use traditional hypothesis testing. If one's goal is to assess past performance of a model, then a simple measure or…
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Return of the Strong Gods by Rusty Reno Reviewed
Posted inBook review

Return of the Strong Gods by Rusty Reno Reviewed

Reno's contention is that World War II drove people nuts, and that the insanity we see out the window now is the direct result of actions taken to prevent a…
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Reader Question On Sea Level Data Precision — Help Requested
Posted inStatistics

Reader Question On Sea Level Data Precision — Help Requested

From reader Kip Hansen comes a long but good (and slightly edited) question on sea level data. I can only answer part of it, because I have no expertise in…
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The Political Corruption Of Science — Interim Wrap Up Edition
Posted inCulture

The Political Corruption Of Science — Interim Wrap Up Edition

We've just finished more than a week discussing the progression of the politicization (pozzing) of science. There are the increasing number of academic departments that require Diversity Inclusion and Equity…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Rational Creatures Are Governed For Their Own Sakes
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Rational Creatures Are Governed For Their Own Sakes

Previous post. THAT THE RATIONAL CREATURE IS DIRECTED BY GOD TO HIS ACTIONS NOT ONLY BY AN ORDERING OF THE SPECIES, BUT ALSO ACCORDING TO WHAT BEFITS THE INDIVIDUAL 1…
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The Week In Doom — Hurry Up & Die & Give Us Your Liver Edition
Posted inCulture

The Week In Doom — Hurry Up & Die & Give Us Your Liver Edition

Item Medically assisted deaths prove a growing boon to organ donation in Ontario Ontarians who opt for medically assisted deaths (MAiD) are increasingly saving or improving other people’s lives by…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on Truly Random Numbers Found?June 15, 2026

    Wait...Does this mean that all those non-winning lottery tickets, I've bought over the years, were drawn from non-randomly-generated numbers? I…

  2. McChuck on Truly Random Numbers Found?June 15, 2026

    What QM leaves out of their "randomness is fundamental" picture is the state of the entire rest of the universe.…

  3. John M on Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!June 15, 2026

    LarryG, I appreciate that sport and game participants can enjoy their favorite activity but that doesn't make the activity entertaining.

  4. JR Ewing on Truly Random Numbers Found?June 15, 2026

    I'm not a fan of airport security pantomime. There are a lot of things about it that I don't like,…

  5. LarryG on Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!June 14, 2026

    The provincial and parochial attitude of Americans towards soccer perplexes me. It’s a great sport. High school: football, sat on…

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