Search Results for “prediction forecast” – Page 22

Seasonal Climate Forecasts Do Not Have Skill

David Lavers is the lead author in a GRL paper "A multiple model assessment of seasonal climate forecast skill for applications." Lavers et al. checked eight different climate models and…

Book review

“The Future of Everything” by David Orrell

The Future of Everything by David Orrell. Thunder's Mouth Press, New York. I wanted to like this book, which was supposed to be an examination of how well scientists made…

Statistics

Asinine comparison of holocaust deniers and honest scientists

Some guy named Joel Connelly at the Seattle Post-Intelligencer has written another one of those "We must do something now" global warming articles. What makes his piece distinct is that…

Statistics

A safe, but misleading, prediction about global warming

Reuters's, on 3 January, had this headline, "2008 to be in top 10 warmest years say forecasters." A quote: 2008 will be slightly cooler than recent years globally but will…

Statistics

U.S. Senate Report: Over 400 Skeptical Climate Scientists

The U.S. Senate Committee on Environment & Public Works has released an addendum to its list of 400-plus scientists who express some level of skepticism about man-made global warming. I…

Philosophy

What can we learn about global warming from poor reporting?

From today's Syndney Morning Herald comes the headline: "Global warming to impact health". First, by impact the reporter almost certainly means influence, a more accurate, but far less energetic and…

Statistics

AMS conference report: day 3

More on hurricanes today. Jim Elsner, with co-author Tom Jagger, both from Florida State University started off by warning against using naive statistical methods on count data, such as hurricanes.…

Statistics

AMS conference report: day 4

The AMS is re-issuing its statement on the necessity of using probability in forecasts. I am on the committee that is re-drafting, or, as they to say, "wordsmithing", it. If…

Colbert on Six Thousand Years Of HistoryApril 22, 2024
There are two points here which aren't connected -age of universe and earth -age of Adam. Believing in the 6000…
John M on The Week In Doom: The Distraction Of Truth EditionApril 22, 2024
If "Christians" fear judgment, they are doing it all wrong.
Briggs on The Week In Doom: The Distraction Of Truth EditionApril 22, 2024
gareth, Nope, will check out, thanks.
gareth on The Week In Doom: The Distraction Of Truth EditionApril 21, 2024
Briggs ! Greetings :-) Have you come across Rev Dr Jamie Franklin? He does the Irreverend podcast in the UK…
Pozymandias on The Week In Doom: The Distraction Of Truth EditionApril 21, 2024
I briefly met Boghossian about 10 years ago. He gave a talk at some function at Portland State University where…