William M. Briggs

An Unorthodox Murder Mystery — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Chicago is a very dangerous place for young Black men. It seems it's also very dangerous for Men-In-Black. Monomakhos received the following report that three GOA priests, who were actively…

Culture

Goldman Sachs To Require Diversity On Boards Before Opening Money Bags

Diversity Oaths, of a sort, have, as I predicted, spilled out of academia and into the boardroom. Here's the headline: Goldman to Refuse IPOs If All Directors Are White, Straight…

Statistics

New Research: “We know the jail system harms the public rather than keeping us safe”

Sandhya Kajeepeta, who, like myself, boasts of a "(grating) Michigan accent", tweeted "We know the jail system harms the public rather than keeping us safe. In this new @AMJPublicHealth paper…

Statistics

The Only Thing That Has Fat Tails Are Rappers: More On The PP Fallacy

Evidence for an event cannot be the horrific consequences of that event. Suppose we're interested in the probability of a Y = "Horrific plague". Since nothing has a probability, we…

Statistics

Taleb Chastises Calm Journalist, Advises Precautionary Panic To Coronavirus

Background Some blue check journalist named Ferris Jabr, in a raw display of sobriety for a member of the Indigo Cheka, said None of this is to belittle what is…

Philosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Divine Law Orders Man Toward God

Previous post. Next week we begin what the laws themselves are. THAT THE DIVINE LAW PRINCIPALLY ORDERS MAN TOWARD GOD 1 From this conclusion we may gather what it is…

Culture

The Week In Doom — Transanity Update Edition

Item LGBTQ education is now mandatory in N.J. schools For a high school history assignment on the Holocaust, Olivia Loesch chose the pink triangle, used by the Nazis to persecute…

Culture

We Don’t Want Ideological Diversity

I realized after I wrote this that it could stand for my mandatory Diversity statement. We want Truth and Reality to be represented in academia. We certainly don't need racial…

Briggs on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 10, 2026
C-Marie, I knew you could.
Briggs on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 10, 2026
Andrew, No, they're just bad model predictions. See the "hallucination" article I referenced.
Andrew P Partington on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026
Gödel’s incompleteness theorem proves that no apparently complete logical system can rule out the paradox (“this sentence is not true”)…
C- Marie on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026
I understood much of the logic of this. Thank you, Matt! God bless, C- Marie
shawn marshall on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026
I asked Grok to assign probabilities to all the known facts about the Shroud of Turin and then calculate a…

William M. Briggs

Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions

Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI

Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well

Impossible LSAT Statistics Question

How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)

Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series

Who Still Listens To AM Radio?

Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital Twins

What Science Says About Making Medication Mandatory

What A Winter

FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability

Class 76: That’s Not Noise. That’s Signal!

AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)

Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis Shooting

Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose Money

Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time Series

The Consent Fallacy

On Laws Banning Hacking Women’s Genitals & Imposing Beliefs

Register Your Predictions For 2026!

Happy New Year!

How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?

Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions

Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI

An Unorthodox Murder Mystery — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Goldman Sachs To Require Diversity On Boards Before Opening Money Bags

New Research: “We know the jail system harms the public rather than keeping us safe”

The Only Thing That Has Fat Tails Are Rappers: More On The PP Fallacy

Taleb Chastises Calm Journalist, Advises Precautionary Panic To Coronavirus

Summary Against Modern Thought: Divine Law Orders Man Toward God

The Week In Doom — Transanity Update Edition

We Don’t Want Ideological Diversity

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification