Posted inStatistics
What’s The Probability Of A Nuclear War?
For readers in a hurry, here's the answer: There is no probability of a nuclear war. Nor of a conventional one. Nor even of you being victor in your next…
Posted inStatistics
The Big Worldwide Strike
Ignorant, a. Destitute of knowledge; uninstructed or uninformed; untaught; unenlightened. [1913 Webster] Recall a group of ignorant kiddies skipped school a while back in order to shake their wee fists…
Posted inFun
Winner Of Progeny Calamity, Genuine Ignoble Prize (Not THAT Ig Noble)
You guys knew you were in good company, but what you didn't know until today was that you were in the presence of celebrity. I am pleased---nay, thrilled---to announce that…
Posted inClass Statistics
Control Groups With No Cancers In Hormesis Data Sets
A well known paper by Duport et al. on radiation hormesis makes a statement about control groups which is not quite right. The paper is "Database of Radiogenic Cancer in…
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT
Summary Against Modern Thought: Physics Cannot Show Our Wills Are Not Free
Previous post. Here's proof of the ultimate limitation of science. The will can be moved by physics (if you like) but only by violence. THAT SEPARATE CREATED SUBSTANCES CANNOT BE…
Posted inCulture
The Week In Doom — So Long, Whites Edition
I saw a Blue Cheka on Twitter argue that kids "of color" should have teachers that look like them. But I couldn't figure how midgets lecturing tots would help them.…
Posted inStatistics
The Conceit of AI
It helps every time you hear "AI" to think "statistical model". Because, of course, that's what AI is. Statistical models layered with clever data processing, that is. Curve fitting. Saying…
Posted inStatistics
Low-Hanging Molecules Have Already Been Picked—Most New Drugs Provide No Benefit
Remember the old stock scam? Call up 1,000 people and tell half Stock A will rise, and tell the other half it will fall. Five hundred people will be slightly…
