# Search results for ‘scoring’

## How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part V New (Free) Software Multinomial Regression

Previous post in the series (or click above on Class). REVIEW! Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. If you downloaded before, download again. This is version 0.22! Only the example code changed since […]

## Your Most Important Choice: Part II — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Read Part I. As we consider Team 2 (Christianity) in light of the five points of interest to me, it bears noting that Christianity has a built-in advantage over Team 1. Wherever […]

## The Limitations And Usefulness Of IQ

That Smarts Everybody knows that some people are smarter than others, and that some are teachable and some not. Well, some people do deny these facts, believing that if everybody started from […]

## Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part III

You must review: Part I, II. Not reviewing is like coming to class late and saying “What did I miss?” Note the New & Improved title! Here are the main points thus […]

## Take Burnham’s Test To See If You’re A Progressive: Suicide of the West at 50

This classic column appeared in July 2015. Besides some editing, I would now change ‘liberal’ to ‘progressive’, which I have done in the title. I made no othre change. See especially the […]

## Free Statistics Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part I

Regular readers know Uncertainty proposes we go back to the old way of examining and making conclusions about data, and eschew many innovations of the 20th Century. No p-values, no tests, no […]

## How Good Is That Model? Scoring Rules For Forecasts: Part III

Read Part I, Part II Part III This brings us to the second reason for measuring model goodness. Or rather an incorrect implementation of it. A lot of folks announce how well […]

## How Good Is That Model? Scoring Rules For Forecasts: Part II: Update

Read Part I Part II What we’re after is a score that calculates how close a prediction is to its eventual observation when the prediction is a probability. Now there are no […]