Search Results for “paradox” – Page 2

All Of The Supposed Paradoxes About The Principle Of Indifference Are Bogus

Here is an example of a supposed paradox caused by using Keyne's Principle of Indifference, which Stove and others (and myself) call the Statistical Syllogism (itself deduced from the symmetry…

Statistics

Curious Notions Of Cause In Science & Statistics

You will forgive me if this post is more technical than usual. I try to leave out math, knowing how confusing it can be. But here it is necessary. The…

Statistics

Dissolving & Not Resolving The Fermi Paradox

Paper by Anders Sandberg, Eric Drexler and Toby Ord of the Future of Humanity Institute, Oxford University made the news last week. "Dissolving the Fermi Paradox", on Arxiv (and therefore…

Statistics

Disproving Kossin’s Increasing Hurricane Intensity Claims: Update — Guest Post by Greg Kent

Editor's note I have strong views on statistical "significance", confidence intervals, p-values, and all that, finding them harmful and worse. However, Kossin used these concepts, and a criticism of his…

Statistics

Winnowing the COVID-19 Numbers — Guest Post by John Carver

This idependent article shows how confusing counting coronavirus deaths are. Regular readers, no Doom tomorrow. This is going to be a preliminary investigation into the COVID-19 numbers being presented hourly…

Statistics

Bayesian Theorists Were Little Better Than Cranks

I stole today's title from David Papineau's essay "Thomas Bayes and the crisis in science", which many readers sent in. When I was in grad school bad in the early…

Statistics

The Unexpected Hanging Paradox

From reader Neil Taylor comes the request we examine the unexpected hanging paradox. I'm stealing from Wikipedia, which stole a version from Wolfram. A judge tells a condemned prisoner that…

Statistics

Fermi’s Paradox & Gaian Bottlenecks

Democracy (the system) is enough to account for the seeming alien life-form which is Hillary and for whatever that thing is on Trump's head. But as queer as Democracy is…

Paul Murphy on Look Here, @elonmusk, What Mendacious Hack Or Incompetent Flack Murdered This Tweet?April 25, 2024
Further,.. after writing the comment above I put some ribs in the smoker and have been watching the thing ever…
Cary D Cotterman on Look Here, @elonmusk, What Mendacious Hack Or Incompetent Flack Murdered This Tweet?April 25, 2024
So, even on Musk's Twitter ("X", whatever), it's forbidden to quote what a prominent historical figure historically akshually said?
Cary D Cotterman on Look Here, @elonmusk, What Mendacious Hack Or Incompetent Flack Murdered This Tweet?April 25, 2024
I was kicked off Twitter for specious reasons and tried appealing, over and over. The responses I got, when I…
John Pate on Look Here, @elonmusk, What Mendacious Hack Or Incompetent Flack Murdered This Tweet?April 25, 2024
I got banned from twatter and refused reinstatement for unspecified crimes. The proximate tweet was an assertion the NHS is…
Paul Murphy on Look Here, @elonmusk, What Mendacious Hack Or Incompetent Flack Murdered This Tweet?April 25, 2024
umm, doc? I have two pieces of what you need most here - unsolicited advice. 1 - the use of…