Skip to content

Search results for: bayes bayesian

Sean Carroll’s “The Big Picture” Reviewed: Why “Poetic Naturalism” is an Oxymoron — Guest Post by Bob Kurland

17 Comments on Sean Carroll’s “The Big Picture” Reviewed: Why “Poetic Naturalism” is an Oxymoron — Guest Post by Bob Kurland

Another version of this article first appeared at Kurland’s site. Scientism, the belief that science can explain everything about the … Continue Reading Sean Carroll’s “The Big Picture” Reviewed: Why “Poetic Naturalism” is an Oxymoron — Guest Post by Bob Kurland

The Gambler’s Fallacy Proves Classical Statistics (Frequentist & Bayes) Fails

21 Comments on The Gambler’s Fallacy Proves Classical Statistics (Frequentist & Bayes) Fails

Everybody who’s anybody—which makes, as we’ll see, a lot of nobodies—knows the gambler’s fallacy. Gambler watches the roulette wheel come up red six times running and says to himself, “Black is due.” It happens, too, these musings. Real people make … Continue Reading The Gambler’s Fallacy Proves Classical Statistics (Frequentist & Bayes) Fails

:)