Statistics – Page 192 – William M. Briggs

The Problem Of Grue Isn’t; Or, A Gruesome Non-Paradox About Induction

Skepticism about induction happens only among academic philosophers, and only in print. Tell an induction skeptic to take a long walk off a short dock or hint that his health…

Statistics

Please Don’t Smooth Your (Social Media) Data!

Don't Don't smooth your data and then use that smoothed data as input to other analysis. You will fool yourself. You will make over-confident decisions. It is the wrong thing…

Culture Statistics

Humanae Vitae & The Sexual Revolution: Theories And Predictions

This corrected post originally ran 14 May 2014. But given rumblings in the Church, that it is Lent, and the importance of the message to all of us, it is…

Statistics

Global Warming’s Shark Jumping Moment

Travel day today, so something light and airy---and incomplete. President Obama, presumably sacrificing a tee time, went to keyboard and typed these words: This is a big moment in the…

Philosophy Statistics

Truth, Knowledge, Belief, & Gettier Problems

Proof Isn't All That The first section can be skipped for those who know what necessary versus conditional truth is. I recall an anecdote about John von Neumann which had…

Statistics

Don’t Say “Natural Variability”

Word that the climate of doom we were promised (repeatedly) has not obtained has begun leaking out. Climatologists have known this for quite some time, but now even environmental activists…

Statistics

A Common, Unfortunate, Avoidable, Devastating Error In Statistics

It's a doozy, this error of ours. So ubiquitous is it that it's hardly noticeable. Yet it is sinking us into scientism and wild overconfidence. Every time it appears, both…

Culture Statistics

The Coming Cancer Panic

Maybe it won't be cancer. Maybe it will be irumodic syndrome or Clarke's disease. Or maybe it will be something else. But probably it will be cancer. If I had…

Johnno on Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of BlueskyFebruary 24, 2026
Not only must we Follow THE SCIENCE (tm), but we must LIKE and hit the Notification Bell to be updated…
Johnno on The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde BombshellFebruary 24, 2026
NLR - My favorite pet peeve are restaurants where there are no printed menus, just QR codes to the menu…
Johnno on The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde BombshellFebruary 24, 2026
The plan is for an EMP to destroy everything and leave a convenient gap in the years between 2000 and…
Brian (bulaoren) on Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of BlueskyFebruary 24, 2026
Yesterday, someone gave me a book of crossword puzzles. I was disappointed to find them rather non-challenging; no fun. Perhaps…
Cary D Cotterman on Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of BlueskyFebruary 24, 2026
They're happier where nobody is smart enough to question authority, nobody has bullshit radar, and everybody kisses their asses.