Posted inStatistics
Let Go Your Wee P! — Reader Help Requested
I flatter myself that this is the best general thing I have written to explain why you must never, not ever, use a p-value, hypothesis test, "significance", Bayes value, or…
Posted inStatistics
Class 46: Explanation & Abductive Weakness
WARNING! If you're attempting to read this via email and not on the site, you might encounter problems: the text might look like gibberish. The LaTeX interpreter, which I need…
Posted inStatistics
The Educational Empire Strikes Back
The new Administration struck the Educational Empire hard and fast. They blazed "Take out the DIE or lose federal funds." Then the Administration slashed the Empire's overhead, the ridiculous tax…
Posted inStatistics
Can Jinn & The Evil Eye Cause Disease?
Every claim of cause deserves to be examined on its merits, and in the context in which it is offered. Dismissing claims out-of-hand is dogmatic. Not all claims can be…
Posted inStatistics
Science: The Bigger The Hole In The Head, The More Politically Active
One lesson I've worked hard at imparting is that scientists, being generally of slightly above average intelligence, and sometimes more, excel at finding evidence which supports their beliefs. But that…
Posted inStatistics
Class 45: The False Hope Of Falsification
Every scientist loves to say that of theories and models that are falsifiable are "scientific". Alas, this excludes by nature and in practice all models and theories used by scientists.…
Posted inStatistics
New Paper Says Flu Vax Increases Chance Of Flu: Let’s Look
Can flu vaccine give you flu? New paper seems to say yes. Their conclusion: "the risk of influenza was significantly higher for the vaccinated compared to the unvaccinated state...yielding a…
Posted inStatistics
A Simple Argument Proving You Must Not Trust Standard Scientific Evidence
In my forced isolation, which was in many ways a gift, I took to thinking of my failures to convince people not to use or trust standard statistical evidence. Here…
