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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions

Posted by By Briggs May 28, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer

Posted by By Briggs May 27, 2026
Continue Reading
The Various Solutions To Black Crime Analyzed
Posted inStatistics

The Various Solutions To Black Crime Analyzed

Twice last week, that we heard of anyway, two different blacks murdered two different white women. (And of course many others.) The one on the left you know, if you…
Read More
The False Expectation Of Permanence
Posted inStatistics

The False Expectation Of Permanence

As yet another in a long (and growing) line of hilarious jokes, I posted on Twitter a short video of the changing location of the magnetic north pole, from the…
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Astonishing Climate Change Predictions!
Posted inStatistics

Astonishing Climate Change Predictions!

Oh no! What are we to make of this dire prediction of plummeting global temperatures? Let's ask world-wide authority (self-awarded) William M Briggs, Statistician to the Stars! as he takes…
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Class 64: No Confidence (Interval) In Parameters
Posted inStatistics

Class 64: No Confidence (Interval) In Parameters

Many think confidence intervals are an improvement over P-values. Not really, no. There is no one alive, or dead, who interprets a confidence interval as theory demands. All (as in…
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What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?
Posted inStatistics

What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?

Here's the tweet (translated) from the AfD official channel: Sechs tote AfD-Politiker im NRW-Wahlkampf! Four deaths had already been confirmed. Now, according to current reports from Welt, two more have…
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Funniest Thing To Happen In Science In Years
Posted inStatistics

Funniest Thing To Happen In Science In Years

We've all seen those videos in which hersterical (there is no misspelling) chubby women rant at their cellphone cameras in cars. They begin their fantasies slowly, saying single phrases after…
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Pray For The Downfall, Ruin, Confusion & Conversion Of The Doctors & Experts Causing Transanity
Posted inStatistics

Pray For The Downfall, Ruin, Confusion & Conversion Of The Doctors & Experts Causing Transanity

RFK, Jr: "When I was a kid, we had shooting clubs at our school." "There's never been a time in America, in the history of humanity, where people walk into…
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Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is Wee
Posted inStatistics

Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is Wee

It would be a good joke to conclude "If Pr(Data we didn't see | Cause false) is small then Cause is true", but it isn't. People believe it. Peers review…
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  1. Briggs on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 29, 2026

    JohnK, Thanks. Rather depressing.

  2. JohnK on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 29, 2026

    Long time, no comment, but a few years ago I compared estimated stillbirth + abortion numbers (excluding miscarriages) in the…

  3. Stickler on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 29, 2026

    Men do not simply “allow” women to kill their children. They also demand it, drive or coerce them to the…

  4. John M on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 28, 2026

    The research and studies about reversing Alzheimer's and other dementia is amazing. It will have a big impact on longevity…

  5. C-Marie on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 28, 2026

    Once a woman becomes pregnant, she is a mother, and the man who gave his sperm is a father. When…

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