William M. Briggs

Mini-Coronavirus Update: The Blamestorm Is On Its Way: Fauci Walkback

Apologies to regular readers, but I got real busy the past few days. So just a mini-update on our model, which will be useful for making a couple of small…

Philosophy

The Best Decision For A Doctor Might Not Be Yours

Probably for the shock value, news outlets are quoting this odd doctor, Ezekiel Emanuel, who, the title promises us, says "U.S. Must Stay Locked Down For 12-18 Months Until There's…

Statistics

More On Coronavirus Model Accuracy

This post is mainly for me to have a place to collect model accuracy stories. If you see ones I missed, please add them to the comments. https://twitter.com/brithume/status/1247666625958023168 Yesterday I…

Statistics

Coronavirus Update VIII: Blown Forecasts & Peak Performance

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…

Culture

Neighbor Turning On Neighbor: A World Of Rats

We haven't reached communist-level cut throat levels. But neither have we the peace we had a mere two months ago. Neighbor is already turning on neighbor, rating them out for…

Philosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Incest Is Out

Previous post. Notice carefully that none of the arguments below are related to genetics or biology, which is important because some wag will always claim it is possible to "cure"…

Fun

What The Heck Is Going On — Guest Post by A. Dismas

EDITOR'S NOTE: This is just one of many extreme theories making the rounds. Even though half the damned planet is locked down, I still don't believe the theory below. I…

Culture

Do Not Spend Your Lives In Fear — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

We were meant to enjoy life. That's why God gave it to us. We are not meant to spend our lives in fear. That's why He gave us His Son.…

Uncle Mike on More On Monkeys Typing Shakespeare & Why Chance Isn’t EnoughJanuary 15, 2025
What's the probability of Ribulose-1,5-bisphosphate carboxylase/oxygenase, aka RuBisCo, arising by chance from the Primordial Goo? RuBisCo is the enzyme that…
Jim Fedako on More On Monkeys Typing Shakespeare & Why Chance Isn’t EnoughJanuary 15, 2025
Sorry, Briggs. I’ve watched enough new TV shows and movies, plus read enough social media posts, to know there are…
Johnno on More On Monkeys Typing Shakespeare & Why Chance Isn’t EnoughJanuary 15, 2025
But a finite number of monkeys voting an infinite amount of times will eventually produce utopia, right?
Robert Sides on Register Your Predictions For 2025!January 15, 2025
1. After more State fascism, a European nation will face a largely populist overthrow after a Solidarity (Polish) sized upheaval.…
Cary Cotterman on More On Monkeys Typing Shakespeare & Why Chance Isn’t EnoughJanuary 15, 2025
Insider info says a roomful of chimps write Kamala Harris's public utterances. All the superhero movie scripts of the past…

William M. Briggs

More On Monkeys Typing Shakespeare & Why Chance Isn’t Enough

Surgeon General Demands Label War Against Wine

Class 34: The Excesses & Errors Of Epidemiology III

England’s Rulers Insist Natives Must Assimilate To “Migrants”

Experts: Please Begin Panicking Over Bird Flu. Us: No. Experts: (Sob)

Environmental Experts To Rip Out Trees, Build Solar Electric Plant In Snow Belt To “Save The Environment”

Class 33: The Excesses & Errors Of Epidemiology II

Register Your Predictions For 2025!

Happy New Year!

How Did We Do In Our 2024 Predictions?

Hot New The Science: Kids Are Having Climate Emotions

Merry Christmas!

The Lesson Scientists Never Learn

House Cramnibus Funds New Follow-The-Science Panics

Probability Puzzle Paradox: Which Boxes To Take?

As Woke Falls, What Rises?

Class 32: The Excesses & Errors Of Epidemiology I (All Should Read)

Who’s Better at Playing Doctor, Boys Or Girls?

How The Enlightenment Led To Contraception (And Other Forms of Anti-Natal Behavior)

Science Model Told To Say Masks Work Discovers Masks Work

In Which Feynman Makes A Mistake: Negative Probabilities (Used In AI, QM, Finance)