Would you check the results of a model with another model? Before you answer, be sure you know what the question is. A model—whether it is physical, statistical, mathematical, or some combination—is […]
Climate Model Uncertainty: Part II
Read Part I The Analysis (cont.) Two problems arise when comparing a model’s integration (the forecast) with an analysis of new observations, which are not found when comparing the forecast to the […]
Democrats’ Appalling Budget Wishcast
Update No extra charge for today’s initially misspelled headline. It is a logical fallacy to say that it OK for John to lie, cheat and steal because Mary lied, cheated and stole. […]
2000 Scientists Demand Climate Action! Part I
Let’s suppose everything you have heard about global warming is true. It really will warm by a half-degree Centigrade by 2050, or even by three-quarters of a degree, or whatever. Some areas […]
Warnings by Mike Smith
Warnings: The True Story of How Science Tamed the Weather by Mike Smith Buy here. I met Mike Smith in 1994 or 1995 at an American Meteorological Society annual meeting. I tried […]
Gladwell, Gottman, and Abraham on Predicting Divorce
Despite the best efforts of their wives, some married men remain recalcitrant and uncooperative. They refuse to or are incapable of taking their training seriously. Some of these men, who remain just […]
Short New York Real Estate Because of Global Warming?
Stevey Cohen, head of the Earth Institute at Columbia University, wants you to short New York City real estate. He doesn’t actually say that—Stevey isn’t a broker and his statements are not […]
My Answers to Willis Eschenbach’s 14 + 2 Questions
Repost Mr Eschenbach had not had the chance to respond to this article before the two weeks wherein comments are automatically closed have elapsed. This re-post will allow him, and others who […]
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