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William M. Briggs

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Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
March 17, 2026
Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics
March 16, 2026
Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
March 12, 2026
On Not Reading
March 11, 2026
The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI
March 10, 2026
A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?
March 9, 2026
Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
March 5, 2026
The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind
March 4, 2026
Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes
March 3, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness

Posted by By Briggs April 9, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Proof!

Posted by By Briggs April 8, 2026
Continue Reading
The Key Role Of Probability & Chance In Science
Posted inStatistics

The Key Role Of Probability & Chance In Science

I received thoughtful questions from EB about my views of probability and how they fit with science. This is long, but the questions alone make it worth reading. The end…
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On The Cult Of The Victim & Why We Must Reject It
Posted inStatistics

On The Cult Of The Victim & Why We Must Reject It

I am not enough of a historian to say whether the Cult of the Victim forms in every dying civilization, but it sure has in ours. A Victim group is…
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Class 61: Does This Guy Have ESP? II
Posted inStatistics

Class 61: Does This Guy Have ESP? II

Hypothesis testing has told us what probably isn't true. It can't see all evidence. Here's how to do it right. Video https://youtu.be/5yoRSQMWle4 Links: YouTube * Twitter - X * Rumble…
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Funding Increases To Foster Even More Cheating In Science
Posted inStatistics

Funding Increases To Foster Even More Cheating In Science

I don't often discuss cheating in science, because the conclusion "It's bad, don't do it" doesn't need explication. Even those cheating are clever enough to swear to the conclusion's truth.…
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Compulsory Moral Bioenhancement Should Be Covert Says Academic Who Says Ticks Should Be Genetically Modified To Stop You Eating Meat
Posted inStatistics

Compulsory Moral Bioenhancement Should Be Covert Says Academic Who Says Ticks Should Be Genetically Modified To Stop You Eating Meat

My heart soared like a hawk by the hundreds of supportive comments I got on Twitter from last week's story about two academics who want government to genetically modify ticks…
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Lying Increases Trust In Science, Says Academic
Posted inStatistics

Lying Increases Trust In Science, Says Academic

The title today is identical to the peer-reviewed paper of the same name in Theory and Society by BVE Hyde. Hyde begins: "This study begins by outlining the transparency paradox:…
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Class 60: Does This Guy Have ESP? 1
Posted inStatistics

Class 60: Does This Guy Have ESP? 1

A guy correctly "sees" 4 cards out of 52. A wee P hypothesis test says he has psychic powers. Does he? We only begin this difficult question today. Video https://youtu.be/_mgOCfEkIWQ…
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Lady Pilots Better Than Men, Says The Science
Posted inStatistics

Lady Pilots Better Than Men, Says The Science

What do you make of this headline? "Female pilots perform better under pressure, study finds". Story opens thusly: Female pilots may outperform their male counterparts in high-pressure flight situations, according…
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  1. Steve on Proof!April 9, 2026

    You don't need a publisher. It's just Godwin's Law in action. For whatever reason, that seals the deal for most…

  2. gareth on Proof!April 9, 2026

    Read it here, please. Which I did, and recommend others do too :-)

  3. Cloudbuster on Justice Ketanji RoarsApril 8, 2026

    One logical conclusion you could draw from this is that psychology isn't medicine and therapists and psychologists should not be…

  4. spetzer86 on Justice Ketanji RoarsApril 8, 2026

    Black people are reported as having a life expectancy of 75 years in the USA. That would give us another…

  5. C-Marie on Justice Ketanji RoarsApril 7, 2026

    Yikes!! Pray for her complete conversion to Our Lord Jesus Christ. God bless, C-Marie

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