William M. Briggs

Is A Material Bearer of Consciousness Intelligible? Part 2 — Guest Post by The Cranky Professor

See Part I here. In this essay, I will summarize and expound more on the “divisible parts problem” in materialism and why the concept of the soul (or ‘mental substance’)…

Statistics

Mask – Model – Medication – Mass Hysteria — Coronavirus Update LIII

MASS HYSTERIA There is already a paper on people going nuts: COVID-19 and the Political Economy of Mass Hysteria by Bagus et al. Abstract (with added paragraphifications by me): In…

Philosophy Statistics

Why (Scott Alexander’s) Bayesian Rationality Fails

Scott Alexander, late of Slate Star Codex, and New York Times doxee, is the subject of Curtis Yarvin nee Moldbug's latest. Rather, Alexander's (and Moldbug's? see postscript) Bayesian rationality is.…

SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: The Son Of God

Previous post. We begin with the metaphors, Son and Father. THAT THERE IS GENERATION, PATERNITY, AND SONSHIP IN THE DIVINITY 1 Let us take the beginning of our study from…

Culture

The Big Slide: A Short History of the Decline and Fall of the USA — Guest Post by Uncle Mike

The American Experiment peaked in the two decades following WWII and has been in decline ever since. Here's the story in a nutshell. When World War II ended, the USA…

Statistics

Lindell Comes Up Short In His Absolute Proof

Mike Lindell, like Time magazine, questioned 2020's election results. Lindell says the election was shifted from Trump to Biden, which he decried. Time used the brand new euphemism fortified to…

Statistics

Diversity Is Our Weakness: Families, Spies & Colleges Edition

Update I'm in Twitter jail again! HAHAHAHA. Supposed to be released 7 PM tonight, if I behave myself. HAHAHAHAHAHA! What our elders wisely called the clash of cultures has under…

Culture

The Military Purges And The Oligarchy

Let's hope no foreign power decides to attack us or any of our sworn friends (I use the term reluctantly) the next two months. The military will be too busy…

Paul Fischer on Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time SeriesJanuary 30, 2026
Great lecture, William. Took a year of time series in grad school...all math, zero discussion of how fragile “trends” really…
Martin on Fatima, Russia & You, Part IV — Guest Post by Ianto WattJanuary 30, 2026
Brilliant. Thank you.
spetzer86 on Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time SeriesJanuary 29, 2026
You also need to consider the amount of trust in the data over time. If you have any reason to…
spetzer86 on Who Still Listens To AM Radio?January 29, 2026
Over 60, used to listen to AM all the time as a kid. Mostly WHO and other Des Moines stations.…
Steve on Who Still Listens To AM Radio?January 29, 2026
Yep. Flyover, so during the daytime, there was only local dreck, but nighttime, KFYR (Bismark), KOMA (Oklahoma City), WLW (Cinncinnati,…

William M. Briggs

Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series

Who Still Listens To AM Radio?

Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital Twins

What Science Says About Making Medication Mandatory

What A Winter

FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability

Class 76: That’s Not Noise. That’s Signal!

AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)

Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis Shooting

Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose Money

Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time Series

The Consent Fallacy

On Laws Banning Hacking Women’s Genitals & Imposing Beliefs

Register Your Predictions For 2026!

Happy New Year!

How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?

Why The Drake Equation Fails

Canada Invents New Euphemism For Doctor Killings

Merry Christmas!

Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By Science

Why British & EU Rulers Are Juicing War With Russia

Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series

Who Still Listens To AM Radio?

Is A Material Bearer of Consciousness Intelligible? Part 2 — Guest Post by The Cranky Professor

Mask – Model – Medication – Mass Hysteria — Coronavirus Update LIII

Why (Scott Alexander’s) Bayesian Rationality Fails

Summary Against Modern Thought: The Son Of God

The Big Slide: A Short History of the Decline and Fall of the USA — Guest Post by Uncle Mike

Lindell Comes Up Short In His Absolute Proof

Diversity Is Our Weakness: Families, Spies & Colleges Edition

The Military Purges And The Oligarchy

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification