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Researchers Claim “Climate Change” Causes Currency Vulnerability: An Instance Of Forgotten Uncertainties
Posted inStatistics

Researchers Claim “Climate Change” Causes Currency Vulnerability: An Instance Of Forgotten Uncertainties

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. We know all about models by now, do we not, dear readers? A model, also known as a theory, can be…
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Lesson 13: No “Fair” Dice & Jaynes Symmetry
Posted inStatistics

Lesson 13: No “Fair” Dice & Jaynes Symmetry

Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble Bitchute (often a day or so behind, for whatever reason) The Infamous Coin Flipping Machine! Link to…
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How The Laws Of Physics Lie
Posted inPhilosophy

How The Laws Of Physics Lie

The title is Nancy Cartwright's, from her book of the same name, and from an article which forms Chapter 3, "Do the Laws of Physics State the Facts?" No, she…
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That New Intermittent-Fasting-Is-Deadly Study Is Not So Hot
Posted inStatistics

That New Intermittent-Fasting-Is-Deadly Study Is Not So Hot

This post will also run at the Broken Science Initiative site later today. A new study came out that claimed intermittent fasting is bad for you. This shocked a lot…
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Why Science Is Broken: Hillsdale Speech Video & Transcript Now Online
Posted inStatistics

Why Science Is Broken: Hillsdale Speech Video & Transcript Now Online

Video Here it is: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JLFDjRS_928 And here is Greg's talk: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z6VMcIp21mA Transcript I followed this closely during the speech, but did not adhere to it perfectly. I don't have a…
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More Standards Brutally Gutted, Left To Bleed Out In Dark Alleys: LSATs Dropped Because Diversity
Posted inCulture

More Standards Brutally Gutted, Left To Bleed Out In Dark Alleys: LSATs Dropped Because Diversity

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. One thing we should know about models by now is that those that make good, skillful predictions should be trusted at…
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Somebody Might Get Hurt!
Posted inCulture Philosophy

Somebody Might Get Hurt!

For the closing days of summer, I am posting every chapter of the first edition of Everything You Believe Is Wrong. My enemies ravaged the first edition, inserting typos galore…
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Class 54: Exchangeability & Parameters
Posted inStatistics

Class 54: Exchangeability & Parameters

Most forget their parameterized models are ad hoc, and so fret about how to put uncertainty on the parameters. Hence the cheerful reception of De Finetti's representation theory. WARNING for…
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  1. Briggs on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025

    Spetzer, All good points. I go into many of them later in the chapter.

  2. spetzer86 on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025

    If the receiver and sender independently wrote down the guess / card with no verbal communication, it might be better.…

  3. JH on Class 56: The Best Model!June 29, 2025

    How can you make predictions in the big data era without using a model? Trust your gut.

  4. Jonas P. Kay on Which God Are You Rejecting? David Bentley Hart’s The Experience of God, Part IJune 28, 2025

    I answer all by saying you cannot get something from nothing. There is beauty in its simplicity and it is…

  5. Johnno on England’s Mandatory Suicide & WomenJune 27, 2025

    So what's the betting pool on the odds about when and in which country will be the first to perform…

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