Posted inStatistics
Big Data, Big Predictions — Big Deal!
The title, you'll be shocked to learn, is sarcastic. You'll forgive the tone after reading NBC's article "Big Data's Big Misses: 2016 Was a Bad Year For Predictions", which opens…
Posted inCulture Statistics
The Vatican’s Biological Extinction Conference
It's old news now that the Pontifical Academy of Sciences has invited the death loving and appalling and serially wrong Paul Ehrlich to its conference on Biological Extinction. LifeSite reports:…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
On The Demon Possessed Doll & Little Girl
You might have seen the video of the little girl playing near a doll, a doll which twitches its head without visible promoting. The video switches views and sees the…
Posted inStatistics
Reality-Based Climate Forecasting — Guest Post by Paul Driessen
Editor's note: since I am sick unto death of the weak anemic emaciated runtish political science of climatology, I refuse to write about it. I can point you to shenanigans…
Posted inStatistics
Stream: Hottest Yeah Evah
Stream: The Hottest Yeah Evah! Really? Or a yet another example of activism masquerading as science? Assume for a moment, as the press with triumphant glee is reporting, that 2016…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Formal Logic And Probability
One of the arguments is that probability does not extend predicate logic, but does extend propositional logic. The concern is that because predicate logic is formal and propositional logic is…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Tipler’s Tipsy Parallel Universes of Quantum Mechanics
We're back on our Edge series of concepts scientists wished more people knew about. Today's entry is Frank Tipler's Parallel Universes of Quantum Mechanics. Tipler: In 1957, a Princeton physics…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Bayesian Statistics Isn’t What You Think
Back to our Edge series. Sean Carroll says Bayes's Theorem should be better known. He outlines the theorem in the familiar updating-prior-belief formula. But, as this modified classic article shows,…