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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

Posted by By Briggs April 30, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

Posted by By Briggs April 29, 2026
Continue Reading
New Scientific AI Computer Model Shows Experts Should Be Launched Into Space
Posted inStatistics

New Scientific AI Computer Model Shows Experts Should Be Launched Into Space

Two exciting new models have been released. One says the vaccinated should fear the unvaccinated. The second, a new scientific Artificial Intelligence computer mathematical model, has concluded Experts should be…
Read More
Will Musk Buying Twitter Lead The Regime To Retaliate?
Posted inCulture

Will Musk Buying Twitter Lead The Regime To Retaliate?

One of the most amusing categories of incident during Twitter's long reign as a tool of propaganda for the regime was the slow but steady stream of academic "studies" that…
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Follow The Munus! Why Benedict Is [Likely] Pope — Guest Post by Edmund J. Mazza; Rejoinder by Fr John Rickert
Posted inCulture

Follow The Munus! Why Benedict Is [Likely] Pope — Guest Post by Edmund J. Mazza; Rejoinder by Fr John Rickert

Fr John Rickert had an article last week (with links to other sources therein) reasoning that Francis is Pope. Today, a response by Dr Edmund J Mazza, followed by a…
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Pinheads To Create Official Ministry Of Truth: Climate “Disinformation” To Be Banned
Posted inCulture Philosophy

Pinheads To Create Official Ministry Of Truth: Climate “Disinformation” To Be Banned

Regular readers are sick of reading, yet must endure it once more, that officially defining "misinformation" and "disinformation" necessitates the creation of a Ministry of Truth. Some agency must define…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: The Number Of Sacraments
Posted inSAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: The Number Of Sacraments

Previous post. The old formalisms of the law have become transformed into the new law. ON THE NUMBER OF THE SACRAMENTS OF THE NEW LAW 1 However, since the spiritual…
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Case Study Of How Conservatives Surrender: Douthat & Men Who Think They’re Women
Posted inCulture

Case Study Of How Conservatives Surrender: Douthat & Men Who Think They’re Women

One of the best known observations on our side is that conservatives surrender. They never conserve anything, and are always well pleased to be seen as not causing too much…
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New Effort To Fix Universities Just Dropped: If You Are A Colleague, Please Consider Signing
Posted inCulture

New Effort To Fix Universities Just Dropped: If You Are A Colleague, Please Consider Signing

A group of scholars (of which I'm one) have begun a new effort to correct troubles of American universities. We call this "The Path to Prosperity". We're working on a…
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Munus, Ministerium & Pope Emeritus Benedict — Guest Post by Fr John Rickert
Posted inCulture

Munus, Ministerium & Pope Emeritus Benedict — Guest Post by Fr John Rickert

For some years now, a theory has been circulating, and even attracting more attention and followers, that Pope Emeritus Benedict's resignation was invalid. Consequently, proponents say, Pope Benedict remains the…
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  1. John Pate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 30, 2026

    I would press the red button because it's the red button. The bigger the red button the harder you hit…

  2. Polybius II on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    "their Other Lives’ Value premise is something vague about man, but not men" I am reminded of a british comedian…

  3. Johnno on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    But do we get time to explain to everyone and have them all sit down and have a discussion before…

  4. gareth on Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: ExamplesApril 29, 2026

    Timestamp 21:35: A "correction" from 0.8 to 1.0 is a "correction factor" of 1.25, not 0.2 (akshully wot you mean…

  5. Cato on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    There’s no point to a world without me; of course I press Red.

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