William M. Briggs

How To Generate Scientific Over-Certainty

It's easy to sound more certain than the evidence warrants, especially when using classical parameter-based statistical methods. I'll show you how. I'll give you the procedure first, then work through…

SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Answering Criticisms Against The Incarnation

Previous post. Part II, and part last, of the rebuttals of the objections against the incarnation. This chapter is what we of a mathematical mind call long. ANSWER TO THE…

Culture

The Consecration Of Russia & Its Consequences To The Global Church — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Editor's note: This was written before the Vatican changed the consecration, which Pope Benedict was to attend, to "humanity" with a special emphasis on Ukraine and Russia. The new ceremony…

Culture

Black Woman SCOTUS Nominee, Who Is A Black Woman, Doesn’t Know What A Woman Is

SEN. BLACKBURN: "Can you provide a definition of the word 'woman'?" JACKSON: "No, I can't" BLACKBURN: "You can't?" JACKSON: "I'm not a biologist" Let's think carefully about everything that has…

Culture

How Zealots Rise To The Top: Global Warming & Transanity Examples

The main reason you can be assured global warming of doom, a.k.a. climate change, is yet another slow-burn moral panic is that scientists in charge of its theory can never,…

Culture

The Empire Of Lies & The Wars Started By False Flags

You've seen the new acronym GAE. Global American Empire. Pronounced gay, for the export and enforcement of Globohomo, among other things. You'll not be surprised to learn that the Big…

Culture

Will There Be Any Academic Refuges In A Woke Purity Spiral?

How bad will it get? It can get pretty bad. It's pretty bad now (see this thread about whiteness in physics). But will it get worse? We recall that in…

SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: It Was Suitable God Became Flesh

Previous post. Part I of the rebuttals of the objections given last week. Why did God become a man? THAT IT WAS SUITABLE FOR GOD TO BE MADE FLESH 1…

spaceranger on Impossible LSAT Statistics QuestionFebruary 4, 2026
I usually go with "b." or "Asia" on those multiple choice ones.
Cary D Cotterman on Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So WellFebruary 4, 2026
Polar bears have existed for at least half a million years, and possibly as long as a million. They have…
Brian (bulaoren) on Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So WellFebruary 4, 2026
Dr. Briggs I was afraid I'd hijacked your subject today with my, rather dark, "Walter Lantz" cartoon. Returning to your…
Brian (bulaoren) on Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So WellFebruary 4, 2026
While we're on the subject of "Ursus Maritimus"; In 1987, a group of amusement denied boys decided to make an…
hudbwu on Impossible LSAT Statistics QuestionFebruary 3, 2026
> But that’s because the setup is itself weird. It contains the implicit premise that more beliefs equals better survival,…

William M. Briggs

Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well

Impossible LSAT Statistics Question

How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)

Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series

Who Still Listens To AM Radio?

Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital Twins

What Science Says About Making Medication Mandatory

What A Winter

FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability

Class 76: That’s Not Noise. That’s Signal!

AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)

Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis Shooting

Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose Money

Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time Series

The Consent Fallacy

On Laws Banning Hacking Women’s Genitals & Imposing Beliefs

Register Your Predictions For 2026!

Happy New Year!

How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?

Why The Drake Equation Fails

Canada Invents New Euphemism For Doctor Killings

Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well

Impossible LSAT Statistics Question

How To Generate Scientific Over-Certainty

Summary Against Modern Thought: Answering Criticisms Against The Incarnation

The Consecration Of Russia & Its Consequences To The Global Church — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Black Woman SCOTUS Nominee, Who Is A Black Woman, Doesn’t Know What A Woman Is

How Zealots Rise To The Top: Global Warming & Transanity Examples

The Empire Of Lies & The Wars Started By False Flags

Will There Be Any Academic Refuges In A Woke Purity Spiral?

Summary Against Modern Thought: It Was Suitable God Became Flesh

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification