William M. Briggs

The Horrible Predictions Of Climate Change

Here are some horrible predictions of climate change, first from Newsweek, then from Time magazine. Most of this will be familiar, indeed quotes like these are our daily fare, but…

SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Yet More Error Corrections About Baptism & The Eucharist

Previous post. I obviously scheduled the date for this post wrong. It ran a day late. The third set of errors about the Eucharist are fixed up this week. SOLUTION…

Statistics

Vexxing 1-4 Year Olds & The Impenetrable Mystery Of The Young Suddenly And Unexpectedly Dying

Here's the wonderful Daily Mail headline: "Healthy young people are dying suddenly and unexpectedly from a mysterious syndrome - as doctors seek answers through a new national register". Even better…

Statistics

Debunking Prebunking & Other Disinformation Scams

An article in Psychology Today, a deeply earnest and condemnatory article on disinformation and the brave efforts to "fight" it using "prebunking", contains the following sentence: "Every day around 9…

Philosophy Statistics

Why Dembski’s Design Inference (Of Causation) Goes Wrong

Probability does not exist; therefore, nothing has a probability, so nothing can be caused by probability, though the uncertainty of statements can be had conditional on assumptions, and this probability…

Culture

Get Ready For Women Mathematicians To Win Many Awards!

Update 6 July. Ahem. As predicted below, a female has won the Field's Medal. And not only a female. A Ukrainian female. "vibrancy" said a judge. "Viazovska, who is based…

Statistics

Why You Don’t Have To Worry About Climate Change: Multiplication Of Uncertainties

I once did a talk on this subject at Spain's Royal Institute of Science during the first global warming panic, but I did a lousy job. Now, at the time…

SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: More Error Corrections About Baptism & The Eucharist

Previous post. The second set of errors about the Eucharist are fixed up this week. SOLUTION OF THE OBJECTIONS MADE REGARDING PLACE 1 Now, after we have considered these points…

NLR on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 8, 2026
You explained the point clearly, that any question involves assumptions about its meaning and how it should be answered. If…
Cary D Cotterman on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 8, 2026
In the absence of knowing if the author intended some more complex formula, and what it might be, the simplest…
Brian (bulaoren) on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 8, 2026
72! That's my story and I'm stickin' to it! I think that puzzle would have been more legitimate if the…
bruce g charlton on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 8, 2026
Ultimately IQ tests are "pen and paper tests", and share their intrinsic limitations and assumptions*. The reason IQ tests were…
Rich on Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?June 7, 2026
What Blaine said. Thanks.

William M. Briggs

The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers

Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?

No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders

How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?

Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions

Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer

Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday

Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”

Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves

Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples

The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!

The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?

Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty

How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power

Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

UFO Reports About To Blast Off!

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay

What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?

The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers

Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?

The Horrible Predictions Of Climate Change

Summary Against Modern Thought: Yet More Error Corrections About Baptism & The Eucharist

Vexxing 1-4 Year Olds & The Impenetrable Mystery Of The Young Suddenly And Unexpectedly Dying

Debunking Prebunking & Other Disinformation Scams

Why Dembski’s Design Inference (Of Causation) Goes Wrong

Get Ready For Women Mathematicians To Win Many Awards!

Why You Don’t Have To Worry About Climate Change: Multiplication Of Uncertainties

Summary Against Modern Thought: More Error Corrections About Baptism & The Eucharist

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification