In the morning, there were enormous piles of bacon, which is, as all competent doctor's should recommend, the best way to start a day. Robert Balling of Arizona State gave…

Czech Republic President Vaclav Klaus started off the day with a rousing speech. I hadn't known he was an economist, but it was obvious quickly through his use of phrases…

This is an editorial that I sent out to various places. I am one of the scientists that attended the recent Heartland Climate Conference in Manhattan, where I live. It…

Tim Hall at the Goddard Institute for Space Studies invited me to give a seminar on statistical hurricane modeling. A link to my presentation is below. Tim, with Stephen Jewson,…

I often say---it is even the main theme of this blog---that people are too certain. This is especially true when people report results from classical statistics, or use classical methods…

Yesterday's post was entitled, "You cannot measure a mean", which is both true and false depending---thanks to Bill Clinton for the never-ending stream of satire---on what the meaning of mean…

In part I, we learned that all surveys, and in fact all statistical models, are valid only conditionally on some population (or information). We went into nauseating detail of the…

My friends, I need your help. I have written a paper on quantifying the uncertainty of effects due to global warming, but the subject is too big for one person.…